CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Industrials Investor Relations →
Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) closed at $90.08 as of 2026-06-12, trading 16.5% above its 200-week moving average of $77.30. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 16.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.00 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2167 weeks of data, CP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.5%.
With a market cap of $80.0 billion, CP is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.4%. Return on equity stands at 8.4%. The stock trades at 2.4x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CP would have grown to $11874, compared to $3068 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.3% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming CP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -5.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 32 historical episodes, buying CP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.4% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +18.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 88% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +52.1% vs +33.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CP's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CP has crossed below its 200-week MA 39 times with an average 1-year return of +17.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1985 | Nov 1985 | 8 | 5.1% | -7.8% | +15992.1% |
| Feb 1986 | Feb 1986 | 1 | 3.7% | +54.8% | +16531.7% |
| May 1986 | May 1986 | 1 | 0.6% | +56.1% | +15882.8% |
| Jun 1986 | Sep 1986 | 14 | 16.0% | +62.0% | +16049.3% |
| Oct 1986 | Nov 1986 | 6 | 6.3% | +83.6% | +16412.2% |
| Jul 1990 | Dec 1990 | 18 | 11.2% | +2.8% | +9516.2% |
| Dec 1990 | Jan 1991 | 5 | 3.3% | -11.4% | +9376.9% |
| Mar 1991 | Mar 1991 | 1 | 1.8% | -12.9% | +9322.0% |
| Apr 1991 | Apr 1991 | 1 | 0.1% | -12.4% | +9132.9% |
| May 1991 | May 1991 | 2 | 3.7% | -7.4% | +9339.6% |
| Jun 1991 | Jul 1991 | 3 | 2.9% | -8.1% | +9269.7% |
| Jul 1991 | Apr 1993 | 90 | 33.6% | -13.0% | +9180.8% |
| Jul 1993 | Aug 1993 | 3 | 4.5% | +7.7% | +9970.7% |
| Sep 1993 | Sep 1993 | 1 | 0.4% | +15.9% | +9643.2% |
| Jun 1994 | Jul 1994 | 4 | 3.7% | +20.2% | +9775.0% |
| Jul 1994 | Aug 1994 | 1 | 0.8% | +21.1% | +9804.7% |
| Dec 1994 | Dec 1994 | 1 | 5.3% | +32.1% | +10195.3% |
| Jan 1995 | Mar 1995 | 10 | 6.8% | +32.9% | +10324.9% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 3 | 4.7% | +19.0% | +6391.5% |
| Sep 1998 | Oct 1998 | 4 | 14.1% | +12.6% | +6633.1% |
| Nov 1998 | Apr 1999 | 23 | 17.1% | +9.2% | +6163.4% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 4 | 8.8% | +16.7% | +5764.6% |
| Nov 1999 | Apr 2000 | 24 | 21.2% | +28.8% | +5634.3% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2009 | 62 | 50.1% | -0.1% | +1097.1% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 9.6% | +35.1% | +955.8% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 5 | 10.4% | +66.6% | +907.7% |
| Nov 2015 | Nov 2015 | 2 | 1.4% | +5.6% | +268.4% |
| Nov 2015 | Apr 2016 | 19 | 24.8% | +13.5% | +267.9% |
| May 2016 | Jul 2016 | 11 | 14.7% | +12.8% | +255.0% |
| Aug 2016 | Aug 2016 | 1 | 1.6% | +9.1% | +241.1% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 3 | 1.4% | +9.6% | +232.7% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 6 | 6.2% | +22.0% | +233.1% |
| Dec 2016 | Apr 2017 | 18 | 5.6% | +24.2% | +237.1% |
| Jun 2017 | Jun 2017 | 1 | 0.2% | +26.7% | +217.8% |
| Aug 2017 | Aug 2017 | 3 | 2.0% | +32.9% | +215.7% |
| Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | 1 | 2.3% | -3.7% | +23.0% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 7 | 4.8% | -1.3% | +20.8% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 9 | 8.5% | +8.7% | +20.6% |
| Jul 2025 | Feb 2026 | 27 | 8.1% | N/A | +24.1% |
| Average | 10 | — | +17.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CP below its 200-week moving average?
No. Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) is currently 16.5% above its 200-week moving average of $77.30. It would need to fall to $77.30 to cross below the line.
What is CP's 200-week moving average price?
Canadian Pacific Kansas City's 200-week moving average is $77.30 as of 2026-06-12. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CP drops below its 200-week moving average?
CP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is CP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CP as of 2026-06-12: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 68. Free cash flow yield is 2.4%. Return on equity is 8.4%. Price-to-book is 2.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in CP would have grown to $11874, compared to $3068 for the S&P 500. That's 15.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CP has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CP pay a dividend?
Yes. Canadian Pacific Kansas City currently pays a dividend yield of 77.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-12