COR
Cencora, Inc. Healthcare - Medical Distribution Investor Relations →
Cencora, Inc. (COR) closed at $311.34 as of 2026-07-31, trading 29.9% above its 200-week moving average of $239.62. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 29.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.69 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1586 weeks of data, COR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought COR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.0%.
With a market cap of $60.6 billion, COR is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 107.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 17.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.9% over the past three years.
Over the past 30.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in COR would have grown to $11798, compared to $1946 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.0% vs 10.3% for the index — confirming COR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 3 open-market purchases totaling $2,310,426. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 13.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: COR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After COR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying COR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.2% after 12 months (median +7.0%), compared to +10.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.5% vs +17.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment COR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices COR would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where COR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $247.02 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $275.74 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $312.02 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $359.30 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $423.45 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from COR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
COR has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +12.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1999 | Jun 2000 | 38 | 53.6% | +58.0% | +7825.4% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 1 | 0.5% | +20.4% | +4053.4% |
| Dec 2003 | Feb 2004 | 6 | 2.2% | +8.9% | +3492.2% |
| Mar 2004 | May 2004 | 8 | 7.0% | +7.5% | +3349.4% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 1 | 1.1% | +14.1% | +3245.0% |
| Jun 2004 | Dec 2004 | 24 | 16.3% | +14.9% | +3216.4% |
| Dec 2004 | Apr 2005 | 18 | 7.5% | +44.2% | +3306.6% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 5 | 5.7% | -7.0% | +2231.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Aug 2009 | 50 | 27.9% | +6.2% | +2183.4% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 2 | 11.3% | +12.4% | +501.7% |
| Dec 2016 | Jan 2017 | 3 | 1.8% | +22.5% | +435.2% |
| Apr 2017 | Apr 2017 | 1 | 0.6% | +12.5% | +407.6% |
| Jul 2017 | Nov 2017 | 17 | 11.7% | +2.0% | +408.1% |
| Mar 2018 | Apr 2018 | 4 | 3.2% | -4.6% | +382.4% |
| Apr 2018 | Jun 2018 | 6 | 4.6% | -5.4% | +369.3% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 2.7% | +4.9% | +373.3% |
| Jul 2018 | Aug 2018 | 4 | 8.0% | +5.9% | +376.5% |
| Sep 2018 | Sep 2018 | 1 | 2.3% | +2.0% | +368.1% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 3.7% | +9.1% | +374.3% |
| Dec 2018 | Jun 2019 | 26 | 17.6% | +11.5% | +374.4% |
| Average | 11 | — | +12.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Cencora, Inc. (COR) is currently 29.9% above its 200-week moving average of $239.62. It would need to fall to $239.62 to cross below the line.
What is COR's 200-week moving average price?
Cencora, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $239.62 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when COR drops below its 200-week moving average?
COR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.
Is COR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about COR as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 51. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 107.1%. Price-to-book is 17.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does COR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 30.4 years, $100 invested in COR would have grown to $11798, compared to $1946 for the S&P 500. That's 17.0% annualized vs 10.3% for the index. COR has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does COR pay a dividend?
Yes. Cencora, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 77.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31