CNX
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CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) closed at $32.67 as of 2026-06-19, trading 22.8% above its 200-week moving average of $26.60. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 25.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 9, CNX is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.95 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1368 weeks of data, CNX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CNX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.1%.
With a market cap of $4.6 billion, CNX is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 28.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 16.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 26.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CNX would have grown to $1017, compared to $819 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 9.2% vs 8.3% for the index — confirming CNX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CNX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CNX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying CNX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.8% after 12 months (median -13.0%), compared to +8.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 45% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +13.5% vs +20.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CNX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CNX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CNX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-23.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $33.36 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $36.13 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $39.39 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $43.31 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $48.09 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CNX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CNX has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +5.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2000 | May 2000 | 6 | 10.3% | +226.6% | +859.6% |
| Jul 2002 | Feb 2003 | 32 | 36.7% | +68.2% | +621.4% |
| Mar 2003 | May 2003 | 8 | 10.7% | +66.6% | +478.2% |
| Sep 2003 | Sep 2003 | 1 | 0.4% | +97.7% | +381.1% |
| Sep 2008 | Oct 2009 | 53 | 53.1% | +18.7% | +15.2% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 2 | 6.1% | -13.3% | -2.4% |
| Nov 2009 | Dec 2009 | 2 | 4.4% | +4.8% | -4.7% |
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 1 | 1.0% | +8.2% | -9.4% |
| Mar 2010 | Dec 2010 | 41 | 29.8% | +19.5% | -8.6% |
| Feb 2011 | Feb 2011 | 2 | 3.3% | -22.5% | -12.3% |
| May 2011 | May 2011 | 1 | 1.2% | -26.8% | -12.8% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 2 | 4.4% | -38.1% | -10.3% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2013 | 114 | 31.4% | -29.1% | -1.1% |
| Oct 2013 | Dec 2013 | 6 | 5.2% | +1.3% | +8.8% |
| Jan 2014 | Jan 2014 | 1 | 0.6% | -15.4% | +8.5% |
| Feb 2014 | Feb 2014 | 1 | 0.7% | -11.9% | +8.9% |
| Sep 2014 | Nov 2014 | 6 | 13.1% | -71.6% | +6.8% |
| Dec 2014 | May 2018 | 182 | 83.7% | -78.9% | +7.3% |
| Aug 2018 | Aug 2018 | 1 | 1.1% | -52.0% | +115.1% |
| Sep 2018 | Oct 2018 | 8 | 6.9% | -45.1% | +119.0% |
| Nov 2018 | Jan 2021 | 111 | 59.6% | -43.7% | +141.8% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 3 | 8.8% | +49.7% | +184.6% |
| Average | 26 | — | +5.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNX below its 200-week moving average?
No. CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) is currently 22.8% above its 200-week moving average of $26.60. It would need to fall to $26.60 to cross below the line.
What is CNX's 200-week moving average price?
CNX Resources Corporation's 200-week moving average is $26.60 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CNX drops below its 200-week moving average?
CNX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +5.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.
Is CNX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CNX as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 9 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 8.8%. Return on equity is 28.1%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CNX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 26.2 years, $100 invested in CNX would have grown to $1017, compared to $819 for the S&P 500. That's 9.2% annualized vs 8.3% for the index. CNX has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19