CNOB
ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) closed at $25.95 as of 2026-03-20, trading 21.2% above its 200-week moving average of $21.41. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 19.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.4x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 1619 weeks of data, CNOB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CNOB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.9%.
With a market cap of $1305 million, CNOB is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 5.7%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
Share count has increased 28.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 31.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CNOB would have grown to $1278, compared to $2235 for the S&P 500. CNOB has returned 8.5% annualized vs 10.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -16.5% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CNOB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CNOB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying CNOB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.4% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +10.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +34.5% vs +26.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CNOB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CNOB has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +10.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1995 | Sep 1995 | 25 | 4.6% | +28.2% | +1178.0% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 5 | 2.2% | +20.7% | +1161.0% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 5 | 7.1% | +3.1% | +776.8% |
| Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | 0.5% | +30.9% | +734.9% |
| Aug 2000 | Sep 2000 | 6 | 7.3% | +51.0% | +734.9% |
| Mar 2005 | Apr 2006 | 55 | 10.2% | +6.2% | +273.7% |
| Aug 2007 | Sep 2007 | 5 | 8.0% | -0.4% | +239.0% |
| Sep 2007 | Nov 2007 | 8 | 6.4% | -13.9% | +220.4% |
| Dec 2007 | Feb 2011 | 165 | 40.7% | -31.1% | +221.9% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 3 | 2.2% | +61.9% | +105.9% |
| Mar 2016 | Apr 2016 | 3 | 2.6% | +48.1% | +104.2% |
| May 2016 | Jul 2016 | 8 | 4.5% | +38.0% | +102.5% |
| Oct 2018 | Feb 2019 | 16 | 16.8% | +22.5% | +55.3% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 7 | 11.2% | -2.2% | +49.4% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 2 | 1.7% | -28.9% | +46.6% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 5 | 6.6% | -28.0% | +47.2% |
| Feb 2020 | Jan 2021 | 46 | 51.9% | +13.0% | +44.9% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 0.5% | -20.0% | +28.0% |
| Jan 2023 | Jan 2023 | 1 | 4.1% | +8.8% | +30.1% |
| Mar 2023 | Dec 2023 | 40 | 40.8% | -4.3% | +34.3% |
| Jan 2024 | Jul 2024 | 24 | 21.6% | +21.1% | +28.5% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 2 | 3.1% | +4.6% | +24.7% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 3 | 5.8% | +22.0% | +18.7% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 4 | 7.5% | N/A | +23.6% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 2 | 2.0% | N/A | +19.0% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 0.6% | N/A | +19.2% |
| Average | 17 | — | +10.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNOB below its 200-week moving average?
No. ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) is currently 21.2% above its 200-week moving average of $21.41. It would need to fall to $21.41 to cross below the line.
What is CNOB's 200-week moving average price?
ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $21.41 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CNOB drops below its 200-week moving average?
CNOB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is CNOB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CNOB as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 43. Return on equity is 5.7%. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CNOB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 31.1 years, $100 invested in CNOB would have grown to $1278, compared to $2235 for the S&P 500. That's 8.5% annualized vs 10.5% for the index. CNOB has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CNOB pay a dividend?
Yes. ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 277.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20