CNK
Cinemark Holdings, Inc. Communication Services - Movie Theaters Investor Relations →
Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) closed at $33.76 as of 2026-06-19, trading 57.8% above its 200-week moving average of $21.39. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 58.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 74, CNK is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 951 weeks of data, CNK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CNK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.0%.
With a market cap of $3.9 billion, CNK is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 46.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 10.2x book value.
Over the past 18.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CNK would have grown to $421, compared to $794 for the S&P 500. CNK has returned 8.2% annualized vs 12.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 91.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CNK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CNK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying CNK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.4% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +10.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +0.5% vs +29.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CNK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CNK would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CNK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-30.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $25.72 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $27.71 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $30.02 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $32.76 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $36.05 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CNK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CNK has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +19.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2008 | Nov 2009 | 84 | 50.5% | -20.1% | +320.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 4 | 8.9% | +47.3% | +35.0% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2017 | 4 | 5.5% | +9.2% | +10.4% |
| Oct 2017 | Nov 2017 | 4 | 2.9% | +22.0% | +9.9% |
| Jan 2018 | Jan 2018 | 1 | 1.6% | +15.3% | +9.7% |
| May 2018 | Jun 2018 | 4 | 4.8% | +18.1% | +5.5% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | +6.5% | +5.0% |
| Jul 2018 | Jul 2018 | 2 | 0.9% | +9.4% | +5.3% |
| Nov 2019 | Aug 2023 | 195 | 75.7% | -59.0% | +3.3% |
| Aug 2023 | Sep 2023 | 4 | 9.1% | +77.2% | +119.2% |
| Oct 2023 | Feb 2024 | 17 | 14.2% | +82.7% | +118.4% |
| Average | 29 | — | +19.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNK below its 200-week moving average?
No. Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) is currently 57.8% above its 200-week moving average of $21.39. It would need to fall to $21.39 to cross below the line.
What is CNK's 200-week moving average price?
Cinemark Holdings, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $21.39 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CNK drops below its 200-week moving average?
CNK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +19.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 29 weeks on average.
Is CNK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CNK as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 74 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 6.0%. Return on equity is 46.6%. Price-to-book is 10.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CNK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.3 years, $100 invested in CNK would have grown to $421, compared to $794 for the S&P 500. That's 8.2% annualized vs 12.0% for the index. CNK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CNK pay a dividend?
Yes. Cinemark Holdings, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 109.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19