CNK
Cinemark Holdings, Inc. Communication Services - Movie Theaters Investor Relations →
Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) closed at $35.08 as of 2026-09-11, trading 54.6% above its 200-week moving average of $22.68. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 55.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.28 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 963 weeks of data, CNK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CNK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.0%.
With a market cap of $4.1 billion, CNK is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 45.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.1x book value.
Over the past 18.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CNK would have grown to $438, compared to $809 for the S&P 500. CNK has returned 8.3% annualized vs 11.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 91.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CNK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CNK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying CNK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.4% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +10.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +0.5% vs +29.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CNK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CNK would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CNK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $27.77 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $30.10 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $32.86 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $36.18 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $40.24 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | $1.02 | $1.19 | +16.1% |
| 2026-05-01 | $-0.06 | $-0.06 | -8.6% |
| 2026-02-18 | $0.28 | $0.29 | +2.0% |
| 2025-11-05 | $0.45 | $0.40 | -12.0% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CNK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CNK has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +19.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2008 | Nov 2009 | 84 | 50.5% | -20.1% | +338.2% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 4 | 9.0% | +47.3% | +40.6% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2017 | 4 | 5.6% | +9.2% | +15.0% |
| Oct 2017 | Nov 2017 | 4 | 2.9% | +22.0% | +14.5% |
| Jan 2018 | Jan 2018 | 1 | 1.6% | +15.3% | +14.2% |
| May 2018 | Jun 2018 | 4 | 4.9% | +18.1% | +9.8% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | +6.5% | +9.4% |
| Jul 2018 | Jul 2018 | 2 | 1.0% | +9.4% | +9.7% |
| Nov 2019 | Aug 2023 | 195 | 75.8% | -59.0% | +7.6% |
| Aug 2023 | Sep 2023 | 4 | 9.1% | +77.2% | +128.3% |
| Oct 2023 | Feb 2024 | 17 | 14.2% | +82.7% | +127.4% |
| Average | 29 | — | +19.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNK below its 200-week moving average?
No. Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) is currently 54.6% above its 200-week moving average of $22.68. It would need to fall to $22.68 to cross below the line.
What is CNK's 200-week moving average price?
Cinemark Holdings, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $22.68 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CNK drops below its 200-week moving average?
CNK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +19.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 29 weeks on average.
Is CNK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CNK as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 61. Free cash flow yield is 5.6%. Return on equity is 45.8%. Price-to-book is 8.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CNK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.6 years, $100 invested in CNK would have grown to $438, compared to $809 for the S&P 500. That's 8.3% annualized vs 11.9% for the index. CNK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CNK pay a dividend?
Yes. Cinemark Holdings, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 103.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11