CNA

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NO
27.0% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 22.1% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $39.24
14-Week RSI 71

CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) closed at $49.83 as of 2026-02-02, trading 27.0% above its 200-week moving average of $39.24. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 22.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 71, CNA is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2715 weeks of data, CNA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CNA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.5%.

With a market cap of $13.5 billion, CNA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 16.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 9.0%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CNA would have grown to $408, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. CNA has returned 4.3% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 7.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: CNA vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CNA Crosses Below the Line?

Across 18 historical episodes, buying CNA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.4% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +7.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 56% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.0% vs +17.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CNA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CNA has crossed below its 200-week MA 33 times with an average 1-year return of +11.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 1974Mar 197610975.5%-52.1%+4284.5%
Mar 1976Mar 197615.5%-3.3%+5003.3%
Apr 1976Jan 19774030.2%-8.2%+5003.3%
Feb 1977Mar 197723.3%+13.6%+5176.3%
Mar 1977Apr 197736.9%+36.8%+5361.4%
May 1977Jun 197783.5%+57.1%+5458.9%
Oct 1977Oct 197722.4%+43.1%+6003.9%
Sep 1981Nov 19811114.0%+8.5%+2836.8%
Dec 1981Dec 198137.8%+30.6%+2782.4%
Jan 1982Jan 198211.5%+32.7%+2730.0%
Feb 1982Feb 198210.2%+22.3%+2679.5%
Mar 1982Sep 19822626.4%+35.4%+2654.9%
Jul 1988Aug 198861.7%+45.8%+627.3%
Sep 1990Dec 19901518.7%+29.7%+496.4%
Jan 1991Jan 199113.3%+60.4%+512.8%
Oct 1993May 19958226.2%-26.1%+367.4%
Jan 1999Apr 19991311.6%-2.8%+264.1%
Jul 1999Nov 19991611.6%-2.1%+237.5%
Jan 2000Aug 20003132.4%-3.6%+244.2%
Aug 2000Aug 200010.7%-25.0%+238.0%
Sep 2000May 20013513.7%-36.3%+239.1%
Jul 2001May 200414936.6%-37.4%+241.2%
Jul 2004Jan 20052919.9%+1.9%+356.7%
Apr 2005Apr 200510.8%+19.4%+394.9%
Dec 2007Jul 201013377.7%-45.7%+303.5%
Aug 2010Sep 201054.4%-15.3%+358.3%
Nov 2010Nov 201033.8%+1.3%+368.7%
Aug 2011Oct 2011118.8%+10.4%+419.3%
Jan 2016Mar 2016714.2%+39.0%+226.6%
Jun 2016Jul 201632.5%+70.2%+216.8%
Mar 2020Dec 20204033.3%+38.9%+108.8%
Jan 2021Feb 202110.2%+24.2%+85.9%
Sep 2022Oct 202220.6%+16.5%+70.6%
Average24+11.5%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02