CMS

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NO
18.6% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 16.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $61.40
14-Week RSI 50

CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) closed at $72.84 as of 2026-02-02, trading 18.6% above its 200-week moving average of $61.40. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 16.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 50, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 2715 weeks of data, CMS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 35 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CMS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.6%.

With a market cap of $22.2 billion, CMS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.9%. Return on equity stands at 10.9%. The stock trades at 2.5x book value.

Share count has increased 3.1% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CMS would have grown to $1054, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. CMS has returned 7.4% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: CMS vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CMS Crosses Below the Line?

Across 17 historical episodes, buying CMS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.7% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +13.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.8% vs +31.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CMS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CMS has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +0.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 1974Dec 197510056.0%-41.4%+819.6%
Apr 1979Jun 1979108.9%-14.6%+927.1%
Jul 1979Oct 198216828.3%-12.6%+903.6%
Jul 1983Aug 198341.5%-73.8%+1111.3%
Nov 1983Mar 198612172.4%-72.4%+1210.7%
May 1986May 198611.2%+49.0%+1729.5%
Jun 1986Jun 198622.3%+56.8%+1748.8%
Jul 1986Aug 198621.7%+42.6%+1768.5%
Sep 1986Sep 198624.5%+45.2%+1788.5%
May 1991May 199112.4%-34.3%+769.1%
Jun 1991May 199310040.6%-35.7%+743.4%
Apr 1994Apr 199410.5%+15.0%+824.6%
May 1994May 199422.3%+14.7%+846.6%
Jun 1994Jul 199426.4%+31.3%+898.4%
Sep 1999Oct 199958.5%-20.2%+370.1%
Nov 1999Feb 200527582.8%-13.9%+367.1%
Mar 2008Mar 200844.0%-18.4%+853.1%
Jun 2008Nov 20097137.4%-12.2%+814.2%
Sep 2022Nov 202267.4%-5.8%+38.8%
Mar 2023Mar 202311.3%+7.4%+37.0%
May 2023Jun 202332.9%+10.7%+34.6%
Jun 2023Jul 202320.6%+5.2%+34.7%
Jul 2023Nov 2023179.6%+18.6%+36.7%
Dec 2023Dec 202311.2%+20.3%+35.5%
Jan 2024Feb 202453.4%+24.6%+37.4%
Apr 2024Apr 202410.4%+28.5%+33.3%
Average35+0.6%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02