CMRE
Costamare Industrials Investor Relations →
Costamare (CMRE) closed at $15.58 as of 2026-07-31, trading 36.1% above its 200-week moving average of $11.45. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 37.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.99 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 773 weeks of data, CMRE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CMRE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +41.4%.
With a market cap of $1881 million, CMRE is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 16.0%, a solid level. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Over the past 14.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CMRE would have grown to $242, compared to $771 for the S&P 500. CMRE has returned 6.1% annualized vs 14.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -22.5% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CMRE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CMRE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying CMRE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +46.8% after 12 months (median +38.0%), compared to +25.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 91% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +88.2% vs +51.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CMRE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CMRE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CMRE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $14.28 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $15.75 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $17.57 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $19.85 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $22.83 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CMRE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CMRE has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +41.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2011 | Jan 2012 | 12 | 20.2% | +30.5% | +147.6% |
| Mar 2012 | Apr 2012 | 6 | 3.6% | +15.9% | +110.9% |
| May 2012 | Sep 2012 | 16 | 10.3% | +43.9% | +132.3% |
| Oct 2012 | Oct 2012 | 1 | 0.6% | +37.3% | +109.8% |
| Nov 2012 | Nov 2012 | 2 | 8.3% | +42.0% | +113.7% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2019 | 212 | 60.0% | -33.6% | +66.6% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 0.1% | +11.8% | +225.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Sep 2020 | 29 | 39.6% | +138.2% | +323.9% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 5 | 10.1% | +53.8% | +102.9% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 4 | 4.9% | +61.6% | +84.0% |
| Feb 2025 | Aug 2025 | 27 | 29.3% | +54.4% | +53.3% |
| Average | 29 | — | +41.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMRE below its 200-week moving average?
No. Costamare (CMRE) is currently 36.1% above its 200-week moving average of $11.45. It would need to fall to $11.45 to cross below the line.
What is CMRE's 200-week moving average price?
Costamare's 200-week moving average is $11.45 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CMRE drops below its 200-week moving average?
CMRE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +41.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 29 weeks on average.
Is CMRE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CMRE as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 46. Return on equity is 16.0%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CMRE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 14.8 years, $100 invested in CMRE would have grown to $242, compared to $771 for the S&P 500. That's 6.1% annualized vs 14.8% for the index. CMRE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CMRE pay a dividend?
Yes. Costamare currently pays a dividend yield of 322.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31