CMPR
Cimpress plc Technology - Mass Customization Investor Relations →
Cimpress plc (CMPR) closed at $84.85 as of 2026-06-19, trading 33.4% above its 200-week moving average of $63.60. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 40.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.4x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 1033 weeks of data, CMPR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CMPR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.3%.
With a market cap of $2.1 billion, CMPR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.6%, which is healthy. The stock trades at -3.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 19.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CMPR would have grown to $327, compared to $807 for the S&P 500. CMPR has returned 6.2% annualized vs 11.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CMPR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CMPR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying CMPR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.4% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +6.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 61% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.8% vs +18.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CMPR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CMPR would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CMPR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $77.01 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $82.56 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $88.98 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $96.48 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $105.36 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CMPR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CMPR has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +17.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2006 | Sep 2006 | 2 | 8.8% | +38.6% | +260.1% |
| Oct 2006 | Oct 2006 | 1 | 1.6% | +59.6% | +234.2% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 10.7% | -37.1% | +195.0% |
| Feb 2008 | Mar 2008 | 3 | 3.7% | -22.0% | +170.1% |
| May 2008 | Aug 2008 | 14 | 22.1% | +15.5% | +167.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2008 | 1 | 5.7% | +34.0% | +179.3% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 28 | 59.9% | +54.5% | +169.4% |
| Jul 2010 | Oct 2010 | 12 | 25.5% | -19.2% | +156.7% |
| Jul 2011 | Feb 2012 | 29 | 35.1% | +24.5% | +217.8% |
| Mar 2012 | Mar 2012 | 1 | 2.6% | -3.0% | +121.4% |
| Mar 2012 | May 2013 | 58 | 29.2% | N/A | +119.5% |
| Apr 2014 | Jul 2014 | 13 | 10.2% | +115.1% | +116.3% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 1.9% | +24.5% | -15.4% |
| Jan 2019 | Jul 2019 | 26 | 27.3% | +46.4% | +3.9% |
| Jan 2020 | Jan 2020 | 3 | 3.9% | -14.5% | -20.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2021 | 68 | 59.9% | +36.7% | +11.1% |
| Jul 2021 | Nov 2023 | 120 | 75.7% | -60.7% | -17.0% |
| Jan 2025 | Aug 2025 | 29 | 37.6% | +19.0% | +27.6% |
| Sep 2025 | Sep 2025 | 1 | 4.4% | N/A | +48.6% |
| Average | 22 | — | +17.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMPR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Cimpress plc (CMPR) is currently 33.4% above its 200-week moving average of $63.60. It would need to fall to $63.60 to cross below the line.
What is CMPR's 200-week moving average price?
Cimpress plc's 200-week moving average is $63.60 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CMPR drops below its 200-week moving average?
CMPR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is CMPR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CMPR as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 62. Free cash flow yield is 6.6%. Price-to-book is -3.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CMPR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 19.8 years, $100 invested in CMPR would have grown to $327, compared to $807 for the S&P 500. That's 6.2% annualized vs 11.1% for the index. CMPR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19