CME
CME Group Inc. Financial Services - Exchanges Investor Relations →
CME Group Inc. (CME) closed at $302.27 as of 2026-02-02, trading 46.3% above its 200-week moving average of $206.64. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 40.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1161 weeks of data, CME has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CME at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.4%.
With a market cap of $108.7 billion, CME is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 14.8%. The stock trades at 3.8x book value.
Over the past 22.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CME would have grown to $4468, compared to $979 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 18.5% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming CME as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 16.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: CME vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CME Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying CME when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.6% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +21.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 90% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.6% vs +37.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CME crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CME has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +28.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2008 | Feb 2012 | 192 | 60.3% | -10.8% | +664.8% |
| Mar 2012 | Mar 2012 | 1 | 0.7% | +20.7% | +890.0% |
| Apr 2012 | Jun 2012 | 6 | 4.2% | +19.9% | +900.8% |
| Jul 2012 | Aug 2012 | 5 | 3.4% | +55.6% | +910.8% |
| Dec 2012 | Dec 2012 | 3 | 3.8% | +67.4% | +922.9% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 2 | 5.9% | +51.0% | +147.0% |
| Sep 2022 | Feb 2023 | 20 | 9.9% | +17.1% | +92.8% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 4.7% | +27.9% | +93.5% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 2 | 3.4% | +22.8% | +84.8% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 0.1% | +12.1% | +83.8% |
| Average | 23 | — | +28.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02