CMCSA
Comcast Corporation Communication Services - Cable Investor Relations →
Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) closed at $31.37 as of 2026-02-02, trading 5.5% below its 200-week moving average of $33.21. This places CMCSA in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -10.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, CMCSA is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, CMCSA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CMCSA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +29.1%.
With a market cap of $114.3 billion, CMCSA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.9%. Return on equity stands at 21.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.6% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CMCSA would have grown to $2226, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. CMCSA has returned 9.8% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 15% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: CMCSA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CMCSA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying CMCSA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.5% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +13.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +41.4% vs +34.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CMCSA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CMCSA has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +29.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1981 | Sep 1981 | 1 | 0.1% | N/A | +28048.8% |
| Feb 1982 | Apr 1982 | 10 | 20.7% | +51.9% | +27687.8% |
| May 1982 | Sep 1982 | 16 | 23.6% | +71.2% | +27687.8% |
| Sep 1982 | Sep 1982 | 1 | 0.0% | +69.5% | +28048.8% |
| Aug 1990 | Dec 1990 | 19 | 30.7% | +21.8% | +3960.1% |
| Jan 1991 | Jan 1991 | 1 | 5.6% | +54.7% | +3937.4% |
| Oct 1992 | Nov 1992 | 2 | 6.0% | +175.6% | +3080.0% |
| Apr 1995 | Apr 1995 | 1 | 1.2% | +22.3% | +1991.1% |
| May 1996 | May 1996 | 1 | 1.6% | -0.3% | +1711.5% |
| Jul 1996 | Jan 1997 | 29 | 18.0% | +27.9% | +1731.7% |
| Feb 1997 | Jun 1997 | 14 | 18.2% | +100.5% | +1608.9% |
| Feb 2002 | Feb 2002 | 3 | 8.5% | -25.1% | +337.4% |
| Mar 2002 | Jan 2004 | 95 | 46.4% | -17.0% | +331.1% |
| Feb 2004 | Dec 2004 | 45 | 17.9% | +5.5% | +394.9% |
| Sep 2005 | Apr 2006 | 31 | 11.3% | +21.1% | +410.5% |
| Oct 2007 | May 2008 | 31 | 23.0% | -37.8% | +364.7% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2010 | 110 | 44.8% | -33.0% | +352.3% |
| Aug 2010 | Oct 2010 | 10 | 9.6% | +19.6% | +406.6% |
| May 2018 | Jun 2018 | 2 | 2.1% | +37.4% | +29.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 9.5% | +69.9% | +18.7% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 2 | 2.7% | +62.3% | +7.8% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2023 | 64 | 33.5% | +7.3% | -4.8% |
| Oct 2023 | Dec 2023 | 7 | 7.0% | +8.3% | -8.7% |
| Feb 2024 | Oct 2024 | 38 | 12.6% | -15.7% | -14.5% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 61+ | 26.8% | Ongoing | -12.0% |
| Average | 24 | — | +29.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02