CMCO
Columbus McKinnon Corporation Industrials - Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Investor Relations →
Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) closed at $14.69 as of 2026-06-19, trading 47.9% below its 200-week moving average of $28.22. This places CMCO in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -51.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 50, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 1534 weeks of data, CMCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 35 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CMCO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.2%.
With a market cap of $423 million, CMCO is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -19.7%. The stock trades at 0.6x book value.
Over the past 29.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CMCO would have grown to $96, compared to $1580 for the S&P 500. CMCO has returned -0.1% annualized vs 9.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CMCO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CMCO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying CMCO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.4% after 12 months (median -1.0%), compared to +18.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 48% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.9% vs +30.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CMCO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CMCO would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CMCO's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $13.30 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $14.95 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $17.05 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $19.85 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $23.75 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CMCO's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CMCO has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +12.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1998 | Jan 1999 | 18 | 22.8% | +14.2% | +8.7% |
| Apr 1999 | Apr 1999 | 1 | 0.4% | -20.6% | -10.7% |
| Aug 1999 | Jan 2004 | 228 | 86.6% | -19.6% | -10.4% |
| Mar 2004 | Jul 2004 | 18 | 31.1% | +85.4% | +133.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2010 | 115 | 68.8% | -28.8% | -20.1% |
| Jan 2011 | Apr 2011 | 13 | 18.3% | -27.5% | -13.2% |
| May 2011 | Feb 2012 | 36 | 43.5% | -19.9% | -12.2% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2012 | 1 | 1.4% | +24.6% | +1.5% |
| Apr 2012 | Aug 2012 | 17 | 14.5% | +24.2% | +8.1% |
| Aug 2012 | Sep 2012 | 2 | 1.2% | +50.5% | +9.3% |
| Oct 2012 | Dec 2012 | 8 | 5.1% | +72.9% | +10.7% |
| Aug 2015 | Nov 2016 | 64 | 36.7% | -11.0% | -17.4% |
| Feb 2020 | Jul 2020 | 20 | 37.8% | +63.1% | -49.9% |
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2020 | 1 | 0.7% | +40.9% | -53.1% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | 3.0% | +40.0% | -52.9% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 0.9% | +40.3% | -54.3% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2023 | 60 | 35.1% | -9.4% | -59.1% |
| Aug 2023 | Dec 2023 | 18 | 18.8% | -12.9% | -59.7% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 3 | 3.6% | +0.3% | -59.0% |
| May 2024 | Nov 2024 | 26 | 20.8% | -62.4% | -61.4% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 79+ | 64.5% | Ongoing | -58.8% |
| Average | 35 | — | +12.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMCO below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) is trading 47.9% below its 200-week moving average of $28.22. The current price is $14.69.
What is CMCO's 200-week moving average price?
Columbus McKinnon Corporation's 200-week moving average is $28.22 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CMCO drops below its 200-week moving average?
CMCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 35 weeks on average.
Is CMCO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CMCO as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 50. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -19.7%. Price-to-book is 0.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CMCO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 29.5 years, $100 invested in CMCO would have grown to $96, compared to $1580 for the S&P 500. That's -0.1% annualized vs 9.8% for the index. CMCO has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CMCO pay a dividend?
Yes. Columbus McKinnon Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 201.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19