CMCO

Columbus McKinnon Corporation Industrials - Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Investor Relations →

YES
42.6% BELOW
↓ Approaching Was -35.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $27.44
14-Week RSI 56
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.2x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.49

Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) closed at $15.76 as of 2026-09-18, trading 42.6% below its 200-week moving average of $27.44. This places CMCO in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -35.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.49 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1547 weeks of data, CMCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 35 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CMCO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.2%.

With a market cap of $455 million, CMCO is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -27.7%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.

Over the past 29.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CMCO would have grown to $104, compared to $1616 for the S&P 500. CMCO has returned 0.1% annualized vs 9.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: CMCO vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CMCO Crosses Below the Line?

Across 21 historical episodes, buying CMCO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.4% after 12 months (median -1.0%), compared to +18.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 48% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.9% vs +30.4% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CMCO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. CMCO currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score +0.05σ
Current FCF Yield -26.99%
Baseline Yield -31.49%
Historical σ 3.57pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-07-30$0.27$0.61+123.2%
2026-06-04$0.36$0.24-33.9%
2026-02-09$0.58$0.62+6.6%
2025-10-30$0.53$0.62+17.2%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 24 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

13 / 13 weeks minimum

the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from CMCO's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation +2.13σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +1.07σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +0.3pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 73th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -51.9pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-3.8pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

CMCO has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +12.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Aug 1998Jan 19991822.9%+14.2%+17.0%
Apr 1999Apr 199910.4%-20.6%-3.9%
Aug 1999Jan 200422886.6%-19.6%-3.5%
Mar 2004Jul 20041831.1%+85.4%+151.6%
Sep 2008Dec 201011568.8%-28.8%-14.0%
Jan 2011Apr 20111318.3%-27.5%-6.5%
May 2011Feb 20123643.5%-19.9%-5.5%
Feb 2012Mar 201211.4%+24.6%+9.2%
Apr 2012Aug 20121714.5%+24.2%+16.4%
Aug 2012Sep 201221.2%+50.5%+17.7%
Oct 2012Dec 201285.1%+72.9%+19.2%
Aug 2015Nov 20166436.6%-11.0%-11.1%
Feb 2020Jul 20202037.8%+63.1%-46.1%
Jul 2020Aug 202010.7%+40.9%-49.5%
Sep 2020Oct 202023.0%+40.0%-49.3%
Oct 2020Nov 202010.9%+40.3%-50.8%
Apr 2022May 20236035.1%-9.4%-56.0%
Aug 2023Dec 20231818.8%-12.9%-56.7%
Jan 2024Jan 202433.6%+0.3%-55.8%
May 2024Nov 20242620.9%-62.4%-58.4%
Dec 2024Ongoing92+64.5%Ongoing-55.7%
Average35+12.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CMCO below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) is trading 42.6% below its 200-week moving average of $27.44. The current price is $15.76.

What is CMCO's 200-week moving average price?

Columbus McKinnon Corporation's 200-week moving average is $27.44 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when CMCO drops below its 200-week moving average?

CMCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 35 weeks on average.

Is CMCO a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about CMCO as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -27.7%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does CMCO compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 29.8 years, $100 invested in CMCO would have grown to $104, compared to $1616 for the S&P 500. That's 0.1% annualized vs 9.8% for the index. CMCO has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does CMCO pay a dividend?

Yes. Columbus McKinnon Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 178.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-18