CMA
Comerica Incorporated Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →
Comerica Incorporated (CMA) closed at $88.67 as of 2026-01-26, trading 57.2% above its 200-week moving average of $56.42. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 68.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2345 weeks of data, CMA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CMA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.7%.
With a market cap of $11.3 billion, CMA is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 10.1%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Over the past 33.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CMA would have grown to $1306, compared to $2854 for the S&P 500. CMA has returned 8.1% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -7.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: CMA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CMA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying CMA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.4% after 12 months (median +25.0%), compared to +12.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +41.4% vs +25.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CMA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CMA has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +15.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Apr 1981 | 7 | 12.2% | +18.8% | +14411.0% |
| Apr 1981 | Aug 1981 | 14 | 5.9% | -1.2% | +13098.4% |
| Aug 1981 | Oct 1981 | 9 | 10.4% | -1.2% | +13004.6% |
| Dec 1981 | Feb 1982 | 8 | 4.5% | +16.3% | +12851.7% |
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 1 | 0.0% | +17.4% | +12791.5% |
| Apr 1982 | Sep 1982 | 25 | 12.9% | +22.1% | +13098.4% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 2 | 1.0% | +55.8% | +3244.5% |
| Jul 1990 | Dec 1990 | 18 | 16.9% | +65.4% | +3326.5% |
| Dec 1994 | Jan 1995 | 8 | 5.0% | +53.2% | +1367.0% |
| Dec 1999 | Jul 2000 | 31 | 31.6% | +20.5% | +371.9% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2000 | 3 | 8.3% | +4.2% | +319.0% |
| Apr 2001 | May 2001 | 4 | 2.7% | +26.0% | +287.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 13 | 16.9% | +2.8% | +290.3% |
| Sep 2002 | Aug 2003 | 49 | 29.3% | +0.5% | +279.6% |
| Sep 2003 | Oct 2003 | 7 | 3.1% | +34.0% | +298.5% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 5.5% | -44.0% | +201.2% |
| Sep 2007 | Mar 2010 | 128 | 70.1% | -28.1% | +207.6% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 0.0% | -5.1% | +294.5% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 2.0% | +1.3% | +304.8% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 2 | 4.0% | -35.5% | +304.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 26 | 28.3% | +7.0% | +385.7% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2012 | 2 | 1.3% | +19.1% | +378.5% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 4 | 3.5% | +39.1% | +378.1% |
| Oct 2012 | Dec 2012 | 11 | 7.2% | +45.6% | +370.5% |
| Jan 2016 | Apr 2016 | 15 | 18.5% | +83.7% | +235.5% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 2 | 2.6% | +79.7% | +223.5% |
| Aug 2019 | Oct 2019 | 12 | 11.0% | -32.4% | +94.3% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2021 | 58 | 60.0% | -4.1% | +74.3% |
| Mar 2023 | Sep 2024 | 80 | 47.3% | -4.6% | +76.6% |
| Mar 2025 | Mar 2025 | 2 | 1.5% | N/A | +58.8% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 12 | 11.5% | N/A | +77.1% |
| Average | 18 | — | +15.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-01-26