CMA
Comerica Incorporated Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →
Comerica Incorporated (CMA) closed at $88.67 as of 2026-01-30, trading 57.2% above its 200-week moving average of $56.42. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 68.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 5.4x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 2345 weeks of data, CMA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CMA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.7%.
With a market cap of $11.3 billion, CMA is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 10.1%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Over the past 33.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CMA would have grown to $1306, compared to $2854 for the S&P 500. CMA has returned 8.1% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -7.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CMA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CMA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying CMA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.4% after 12 months (median +25.0%), compared to +12.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +41.4% vs +25.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CMA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CMA has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +15.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Apr 1981 | 7 | 12.2% | +18.8% | +14411.0% |
| Apr 1981 | Aug 1981 | 14 | 5.9% | -1.2% | +13098.4% |
| Aug 1981 | Oct 1981 | 9 | 10.4% | -1.2% | +13004.6% |
| Dec 1981 | Feb 1982 | 8 | 4.5% | +16.3% | +12851.7% |
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 1 | 0.0% | +17.4% | +12791.5% |
| Apr 1982 | Sep 1982 | 25 | 12.9% | +22.1% | +13098.4% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 2 | 1.0% | +55.8% | +3244.5% |
| Jul 1990 | Dec 1990 | 18 | 16.9% | +65.4% | +3326.5% |
| Dec 1994 | Jan 1995 | 8 | 5.0% | +53.2% | +1367.0% |
| Dec 1999 | Jul 2000 | 31 | 31.6% | +20.5% | +371.9% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2000 | 3 | 8.3% | +4.2% | +319.0% |
| Apr 2001 | May 2001 | 4 | 2.7% | +26.0% | +287.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 13 | 16.9% | +2.8% | +290.3% |
| Sep 2002 | Aug 2003 | 49 | 29.3% | +0.5% | +279.6% |
| Sep 2003 | Oct 2003 | 7 | 3.1% | +34.0% | +298.5% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 5.5% | -44.0% | +201.2% |
| Sep 2007 | Mar 2010 | 128 | 70.1% | -28.1% | +207.6% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 0.0% | -5.1% | +294.5% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 2.0% | +1.3% | +304.8% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 2 | 4.0% | -35.5% | +304.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 26 | 28.3% | +7.0% | +385.7% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2012 | 2 | 1.3% | +19.1% | +378.5% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 4 | 3.5% | +39.1% | +378.1% |
| Oct 2012 | Dec 2012 | 11 | 7.2% | +45.6% | +370.5% |
| Jan 2016 | Apr 2016 | 15 | 18.5% | +83.7% | +235.5% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 2 | 2.6% | +79.7% | +223.5% |
| Aug 2019 | Oct 2019 | 12 | 11.0% | -32.4% | +94.3% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2021 | 58 | 60.0% | -4.1% | +74.3% |
| Mar 2023 | Sep 2024 | 80 | 47.3% | -4.6% | +76.6% |
| Mar 2025 | Mar 2025 | 2 | 1.5% | N/A | +58.8% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 12 | 11.5% | N/A | +77.1% |
| Average | 18 | — | +15.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Comerica Incorporated (CMA) is currently 57.2% above its 200-week moving average of $56.42. It would need to fall to $56.42 to cross below the line.
What is CMA's 200-week moving average price?
Comerica Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $56.42 as of 2026-01-30. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CMA drops below its 200-week moving average?
CMA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +15.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is CMA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CMA as of 2026-01-30: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 68. Return on equity is 10.1%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CMA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.1 years, $100 invested in CMA would have grown to $1306, compared to $2854 for the S&P 500. That's 8.1% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. CMA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CMA pay a dividend?
Yes. Comerica Incorporated currently pays a dividend yield of 3.20%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-01-30