CLDT
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Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT) closed at $12.98 as of 2026-09-18, trading 50.4% above its 200-week moving average of $8.63. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 49.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.29 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 809 weeks of data, CLDT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -9.7%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $636 million, CLDT is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 12.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 1.6%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 2.3% reduction over three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 15.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CLDT would have grown to $150, compared to $754 for the S&P 500. CLDT has returned 2.7% annualized vs 13.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -3.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CLDT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CLDT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying CLDT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -9.6% after 12 months (median -10.0%), compared to +16.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 37% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -3.3% vs +41.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CLDT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CLDT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CLDT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $10.31 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $12.71 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $16.56 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $23.75 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $42.00 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | $0.11 | $0.13 | +18.2% |
| 2026-05-07 | $-0.18 | $-0.13 | +27.8% |
| 2026-02-25 | $-0.14 | $0.05 | +135.7% |
| 2025-11-05 | $0.01 | $0.03 | +200.0% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CLDT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CLDT has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +-9.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2011 | Jun 2012 | 65 | 41.0% | -12.1% | +56.3% |
| Aug 2012 | Aug 2012 | 3 | 0.7% | +34.3% | +67.3% |
| Oct 2012 | Nov 2012 | 6 | 6.1% | +43.8% | +66.2% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 4 | 7.9% | +23.5% | +12.2% |
| Sep 2016 | Dec 2016 | 13 | 13.4% | +12.2% | -2.1% |
| Feb 2017 | May 2017 | 13 | 6.1% | -2.7% | -8.3% |
| Aug 2017 | Aug 2017 | 3 | 2.2% | +13.1% | -9.4% |
| Feb 2018 | May 2018 | 12 | 9.4% | +15.9% | -5.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 3 | 1.5% | -1.5% | -14.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 7.6% | +3.8% | -13.7% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 0.2% | -72.8% | -13.7% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 6 | 8.9% | -68.7% | -10.4% |
| Oct 2019 | Oct 2019 | 2 | 2.4% | -55.7% | -13.2% |
| Jan 2020 | Apr 2022 | 119 | 72.8% | -32.2% | -13.8% |
| May 2022 | Nov 2022 | 27 | 25.3% | -19.8% | +15.3% |
| Nov 2022 | Nov 2022 | 1 | 0.9% | -20.6% | +15.5% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 5 | 5.8% | -15.3% | +15.9% |
| Feb 2023 | Dec 2023 | 42 | 23.5% | -13.9% | +19.3% |
| Jan 2024 | Apr 2026 | 117 | 39.2% | -15.2% | +35.5% |
| Average | 24 | — | +-9.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLDT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT) is currently 50.4% above its 200-week moving average of $8.63. It would need to fall to $8.63 to cross below the line.
What is CLDT's 200-week moving average price?
Chatham Lodging Trust's 200-week moving average is $8.63 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CLDT drops below its 200-week moving average?
CLDT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -9.7%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is CLDT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CLDT as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow yield is 12.1%. Return on equity is 1.6%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CLDT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 15.6 years, $100 invested in CLDT would have grown to $150, compared to $754 for the S&P 500. That's 2.7% annualized vs 13.8% for the index. CLDT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CLDT pay a dividend?
Yes. Chatham Lodging Trust currently pays a dividend yield of 308.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18