CINF
Cincinnati Financial Corporation Financial Services - Insurance Investor Relations →
Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) closed at $172.65 as of 2026-02-02, trading 44.2% above its 200-week moving average of $119.73. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 34.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, CINF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CINF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +32.2%.
With a market cap of $27.0 billion, CINF is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.3%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 14.5%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
CINF is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 206.00%. Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 2.5% reduction over three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CINF would have grown to $2895, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.7% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming CINF as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 10.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: CINF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CINF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying CINF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.6% after 12 months (median +28.0%), compared to +19.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +44.2% vs +27.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CINF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CINF has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +32.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1982 | Jan 1982 | 3 | 3.6% | +29.1% | +32695.4% |
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 2 | 1.6% | +58.7% | +32258.1% |
| May 1982 | Sep 1982 | 16 | 20.4% | +71.7% | +33373.9% |
| Sep 1987 | Sep 1987 | 1 | 0.9% | +14.7% | +11411.9% |
| Oct 1987 | Jul 1988 | 40 | 30.0% | +26.3% | +11757.3% |
| Aug 1988 | Aug 1988 | 1 | 1.0% | +43.4% | +10586.1% |
| Nov 1988 | Jan 1989 | 11 | 5.8% | +46.1% | +10359.1% |
| Nov 1994 | Dec 1994 | 3 | 1.9% | +44.9% | +3387.2% |
| Jan 2000 | Mar 2000 | 9 | 12.8% | +27.2% | +1374.0% |
| Jun 2000 | Jul 2000 | 1 | 1.8% | +28.3% | +1307.7% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 4 | 6.9% | +16.8% | +1069.4% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 12 | 5.4% | +21.9% | +1065.7% |
| May 2003 | May 2003 | 1 | 0.7% | +25.0% | +1054.9% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 1 | 4.4% | -24.3% | +776.4% |
| Oct 2007 | Nov 2007 | 3 | 3.8% | -41.1% | +742.4% |
| Nov 2007 | Sep 2010 | 148 | 49.4% | -23.4% | +732.5% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 3 | 2.6% | +54.9% | +944.3% |
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 | 2.1% | +61.5% | +965.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 9.5% | +47.4% | +169.0% |
| Apr 2020 | Jul 2020 | 13 | 37.3% | +43.6% | +155.1% |
| Aug 2020 | Aug 2020 | 1 | 0.9% | +63.7% | +156.5% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 4 | 1.7% | +56.7% | +157.9% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 6 | 9.3% | +61.7% | +154.3% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 7.0% | +19.6% | +104.0% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 1.1% | +23.2% | +88.4% |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 2023 | 4 | 3.0% | +22.9% | +92.0% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 0.7% | +48.7% | +87.1% |
| Average | 11 | — | +32.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02