CIM

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YES
5.0% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -5.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $13.04
14-Week RSI 50

Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) closed at $12.38 as of 2026-02-02, trading 5.0% below its 200-week moving average of $13.04. This places CIM in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -5.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 50, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 901 weeks of data, CIM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 65 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CIM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.3%.

With a market cap of $1029 million, CIM is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 2.1%. The stock trades at 0.4x book value.

Share count has increased 2.5% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 17.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CIM would have grown to $252, compared to $1054 for the S&P 500. CIM has returned 5.5% annualized vs 14.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -26.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: CIM vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CIM Crosses Below the Line?

Across 7 historical episodes, buying CIM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.7% after 12 months (median +26.0%), compared to +21.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.3% vs +42.4% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CIM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CIM has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +31.3% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Nov 2008Apr 201218175.9%+43.6%+168.7%
May 2012May 201211.6%+38.7%+68.4%
Jun 2012Sep 20121116.4%+32.1%+81.7%
Nov 2012Nov 201210.3%+33.8%+67.6%
Mar 2020Apr 20215553.5%+51.6%-12.4%
Apr 2021Apr 202110.3%-12.1%-43.9%
Feb 2022Ongoing207+54.3%Ongoing-45.3%
Average65+31.3%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02