CHRD
Chord Energy Corporation Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) closed at $131.91 as of 2026-03-20, trading 11.2% above its 200-week moving average of $118.67. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 3.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 81, CHRD is in overbought territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 774 weeks of data, CHRD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 64 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -15.7%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $7.5 billion, CHRD is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 0.5%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
Share count has increased 36.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 14.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CHRD would have grown to $784, compared to $628 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.8% vs 13.1% for the index — confirming CHRD as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -20.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CHRD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CHRD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying CHRD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -14.0% after 12 months (median -6.0%), compared to +16.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -0.2% vs +32.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CHRD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CHRD has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +-15.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 11.2% | +8.5% | +788.8% |
| May 2012 | Aug 2012 | 12 | 13.0% | +56.3% | +764.3% |
| Oct 2014 | Jun 2018 | 193 | 85.2% | -59.3% | +538.0% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2020 | 108 | 98.5% | -71.3% | +1990.4% |
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2024 | 2 | 4.9% | -14.2% | +26.9% |
| Jan 2025 | Mar 2026 | 58 | 27.8% | -14.2% | +19.7% |
| Average | 64 | — | +-15.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHRD below its 200-week moving average?
No. Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is currently 11.2% above its 200-week moving average of $118.67. It would need to fall to $118.67 to cross below the line.
What is CHRD's 200-week moving average price?
Chord Energy Corporation's 200-week moving average is $118.67 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CHRD drops below its 200-week moving average?
CHRD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -15.7%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 64 weeks on average.
Is CHRD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CHRD as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 81 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 8.3%. Return on equity is 0.5%. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CHRD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 14.9 years, $100 invested in CHRD would have grown to $784, compared to $628 for the S&P 500. That's 14.8% annualized vs 13.1% for the index. CHRD has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CHRD pay a dividend?
Yes. Chord Energy Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 394.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20