CHRD
Chord Energy Corporation Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) closed at $102.89 as of 2026-02-02, trading 13.8% below its 200-week moving average of $119.33. This places CHRD in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -16.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 768 weeks of data, CHRD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 63 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -16.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $5.9 billion, CHRD is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.0%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 2.0%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
Share count has increased 211.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 14.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CHRD would have grown to $605, compared to $666 for the S&P 500. CHRD has returned 12.9% annualized vs 13.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 9.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: CHRD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CHRD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying CHRD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -14.0% after 12 months (median -6.0%), compared to +16.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -0.2% vs +32.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CHRD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CHRD has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +-16.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 11.2% | +8.5% | +586.1% |
| May 2012 | Aug 2012 | 12 | 13.0% | +56.3% | +567.1% |
| Oct 2014 | Jun 2018 | 193 | 85.2% | -59.3% | +392.5% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2020 | 108 | 98.5% | -71.3% | +1513.6% |
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2024 | 2 | 4.9% | -14.2% | -2.1% |
| Jan 2025 | Ongoing | 55+ | 27.8% | Ongoing | -7.6% |
| Average | 63 | — | +-16.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02