CHEF

The Chefs' Warehouse Inc. Consumer Staples - Food Distribution Investor Relations →

NO
58.1% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 49.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $42.18
14-Week RSI 64

The Chefs' Warehouse Inc. (CHEF) closed at $66.67 as of 2026-02-02, trading 58.1% above its 200-week moving average of $42.18. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 49.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 64, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 710 weeks of data, CHEF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CHEF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.7%.

With a market cap of $2.7 billion, CHEF is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.7%. Return on equity stands at 14.1%. The stock trades at 4.7x book value.

Share count has increased 6.2% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 13.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CHEF would have grown to $484, compared to $636 for the S&P 500. CHEF has returned 12.2% annualized vs 14.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: CHEF vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CHEF Crosses Below the Line?

Across 16 historical episodes, buying CHEF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +27.4% after 12 months (median +2.0%), compared to +10.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.1% vs +28.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CHEF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CHEF has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +19.7% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jul 2012Feb 20133121.9%+21.4%+299.2%
Jun 2013Jul 201321.9%+17.0%+293.1%
Apr 2014Jun 201465.9%+1.1%+253.9%
Jul 2014Dec 20142316.6%+7.9%+264.1%
Apr 2015May 201510.4%+1.2%+250.2%
May 2015Jun 201523.0%-16.3%+255.6%
Jul 2015Mar 20163331.4%-12.8%+254.3%
Apr 2016Sep 20177442.6%-26.5%+253.7%
Nov 2017Nov 201713.0%+108.7%+296.8%
Mar 2020Dec 20204277.7%+96.6%+281.4%
Jul 2021Jul 202123.9%+41.6%+145.4%
Sep 2021Sep 202111.3%+26.9%+143.1%
Jan 2022Jan 202210.8%+29.6%+132.5%
Mar 2022Mar 202212.1%+9.8%+133.9%
Sep 2022Oct 202212.0%-26.9%+130.1%
Aug 2023Dec 20231737.8%+35.1%+134.3%
Average15+19.7%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02