CHE

Chemed Corporation Healthcare - Medical Care Facilities Investor Relations →

YES
27.3% BELOW
↓ Approaching Was -22.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $519.74
14-Week RSI 38
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 2.0x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.72

Chemed Corporation (CHE) closed at $377.99 as of 2026-03-20, trading 27.3% below its 200-week moving average of $519.74. This places CHE in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -22.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 2.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.72 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2711 weeks of data, CHE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 36 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CHE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +16.2%.

With a market cap of $5.3 billion, CHE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.6%. Return on equity stands at 25.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.3x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.8% over the past three years. CHE passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CHE would have grown to $4924, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.4% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming CHE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 8.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: CHE vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CHE Crosses Below the Line?

Across 15 historical episodes, buying CHE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.9% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +5.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.6% vs +10.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CHE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CHE has crossed below its 200-week MA 36 times with an average 1-year return of +16.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 1974Jul 19756571.7%-51.1%+17107.2%
Jul 1975Jan 19762327.6%+24.7%+20642.9%
May 1976Jun 197633.9%+37.2%+19313.2%
Oct 1976Nov 197632.2%+23.7%+18827.9%
Mar 1982Mar 198210.2%+93.1%+10415.5%
Jul 1984Jul 198410.4%+13.4%+6910.3%
Sep 1984Jan 1985187.7%+9.4%+7009.1%
Apr 1985Jun 198583.4%+38.1%+6690.3%
Aug 1985Aug 198510.1%+13.6%+6343.5%
Sep 1985Nov 198588.6%+3.4%+6398.8%
Dec 1985Dec 198510.3%+21.8%+6235.7%
Aug 1986Aug 198610.3%+36.4%+5769.1%
Sep 1986Sep 198627.1%+35.7%+5981.2%
Oct 1986Oct 198610.5%+17.8%+5769.1%
Oct 1987Dec 19871016.8%+9.8%+6105.9%
May 1988Sep 19882011.0%+6.3%+5571.3%
Oct 1988Jan 19891310.9%+12.9%+5550.1%
Jan 1989Feb 198922.1%+3.7%+5512.3%
Mar 1989Mar 198910.8%+0.2%+5456.2%
Jan 1990Feb 199012.2%-39.5%+5312.1%
Mar 1990Nov 19918841.2%-21.6%+5444.6%
Jul 1998Nov 19981921.1%+7.1%+2964.2%
Jan 1999May 19991618.7%+4.6%+3023.0%
May 1999Jun 199920.6%+1.6%+2884.8%
Aug 1999May 20004120.6%+1.4%+2944.8%
Jun 2000Sep 2000127.7%+17.0%+3025.4%
Jul 2001Aug 2001210.4%+22.6%+3132.4%
Aug 2001Nov 20011312.1%+14.2%+2897.3%
Jul 2002Jul 200212.3%+27.0%+2836.3%
Sep 2002Sep 200210.5%+24.4%+2758.2%
Oct 2002Oct 200211.4%+25.6%+2786.4%
Sep 2006Oct 200610.3%+93.6%+1217.4%
Mar 2008Oct 20098330.3%-13.0%+870.9%
Oct 2009Nov 200952.2%+31.3%+821.7%
Sep 2022Oct 202242.8%+19.4%-12.3%
Jun 2025Ongoing38+27.3%Ongoing-19.8%
Average14+16.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CHE below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Chemed Corporation (CHE) is trading 27.3% below its 200-week moving average of $519.74. The current price is $377.99.

What is CHE's 200-week moving average price?

Chemed Corporation's 200-week moving average is $519.74 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when CHE drops below its 200-week moving average?

CHE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 36 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +16.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.

Is CHE a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about CHE as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 38. Free cash flow yield is 4.6%. Return on equity is 25.3%. Price-to-book is 5.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does CHE compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in CHE would have grown to $4924, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 12.4% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. CHE has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does CHE pay a dividend?

Yes. Chemed Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 61.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-03-20