CHCT
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Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated (CHCT) closed at $14.17 as of 2026-09-18, trading 23.4% below its 200-week moving average of $18.51. This places CHCT in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -21.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 27, CHCT is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.10 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 543 weeks of data, CHCT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 55 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CHCT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.0%.
With a market cap of $406 million, CHCT is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 16.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 4.9%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
Share count has increased 9.9% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 10.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CHCT would have grown to $153, compared to $437 for the S&P 500. CHCT has returned 4.1% annualized vs 15.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -10.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CHCT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CHCT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying CHCT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.5% after 12 months (median +2.0%), compared to +26.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -14.8% vs +51.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CHCT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CHCT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CHCT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-27.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $13.99 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $15.69 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $17.85 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $20.71 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $24.66 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | $0.08 | $0.09 | +17.4% |
| 2025-04-29 | $0.07 | $0.03 | -57.1% |
| 2025-02-18 | $0.07 | $0.04 | -42.9% |
| 2024-10-29 | $0.07 | $0.04 | -42.9% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CHCT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CHCT has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +25.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 7.3% | +83.1% | -14.9% |
| Apr 2022 | Aug 2022 | 14 | 14.8% | +1.9% | -44.2% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 20 | 20.8% | -10.1% | -47.3% |
| Feb 2023 | Ongoing | 186+ | 50.4% | Ongoing | -49.5% |
| Average | 55 | — | +25.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHCT below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated (CHCT) is trading 23.4% below its 200-week moving average of $18.51. The current price is $14.17.
What is CHCT's 200-week moving average price?
Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $18.51 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CHCT drops below its 200-week moving average?
CHCT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +25.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 55 weeks on average.
Is CHCT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CHCT as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 27 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 16.2%. Return on equity is 4.9%. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CHCT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.5 years, $100 invested in CHCT would have grown to $153, compared to $437 for the S&P 500. That's 4.1% annualized vs 15.1% for the index. CHCT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CHCT pay a dividend?
Yes. Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated currently pays a dividend yield of 1222.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18