CGNX

Cognex Corporation Technology - Scientific & Technical Instruments Investor Relations →

NO
39.8% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 46.1% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $44.04
14-Week RSI 46
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.0x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.98

Cognex Corporation (CGNX) closed at $61.56 as of 2026-09-18, trading 39.8% above its 200-week moving average of $44.04. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 46.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.98 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1891 weeks of data, CGNX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CGNX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +45.9%.

With a market cap of $10.4 billion, CGNX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.9%. Return on equity stands at 11.1%. The stock trades at 6.3x book value.

Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CGNX would have grown to $5541, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.6% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming CGNX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 1.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: CGNX vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CGNX Crosses Below the Line?

Across 23 historical episodes, buying CGNX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +34.4% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +11.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.5% vs +24.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CGNX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CGNX would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +1.19σ
Current FCF Yield 2.59%
Baseline Yield 2.36%
Historical σ 0.41pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where CGNX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-28.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$54.64Unusually cheap — analysis point
Value+1σ$63.44Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$75.64Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$93.63Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$122.85Unusually expensive — analysis point

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-08-05$0.42$0.45+5.9%
2026-05-06$0.25$0.34+37.1%
2026-02-11$0.22$0.27+22.9%
2025-10-29$0.29$0.33+13.5%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 24 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

13 / 13 weeks minimum

the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from CGNX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -0.31σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.24σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -0.9pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -0.5pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-12.0pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

CGNX has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +45.9% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 1990Oct 199015.2%+217.1%+13316.0%
Apr 1992Nov 19923034.3%+49.2%+7992.2%
Sep 1996Sep 199610.8%+156.0%+2238.6%
Oct 1996Nov 199638.5%+131.8%+2217.3%
May 1998Jan 19993250.9%+41.4%+1577.0%
Oct 2000May 20012840.2%-30.5%+1035.4%
Jun 2001Jul 2001715.6%-23.1%+991.9%
Aug 2001Aug 200310753.2%-44.2%+1040.4%
Sep 2003Sep 200339.1%-1.4%+1006.0%
Oct 2003Dec 20031010.1%-2.0%+1135.8%
Oct 2004Oct 200422.0%+21.4%+1184.6%
Jan 2005Jan 200534.3%+31.3%+1166.7%
Mar 2005Mar 200511.0%+16.0%+1163.6%
Apr 2005May 2005512.4%+23.5%+1244.3%
May 2006Apr 200810239.9%-6.4%+1107.6%
Jun 2008Feb 20108654.5%-36.1%+1190.3%
May 2010Jun 201023.4%+91.7%+1475.8%
Jun 2010Jul 201036.5%+112.5%+1564.1%
Jan 2016Feb 201659.2%+123.8%+370.3%
Dec 2018Dec 201810.7%+55.1%+84.6%
Feb 2020Apr 2020610.5%+91.1%+47.4%
May 2022Sep 202517653.0%-8.2%+16.9%
Oct 2025Oct 202518.8%N/A+51.9%
Oct 2025Feb 20261417.7%N/A+49.7%
Average26+45.9%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CGNX below its 200-week moving average?

No. Cognex Corporation (CGNX) is currently 39.8% above its 200-week moving average of $44.04. It would need to fall to $44.04 to cross below the line.

What is CGNX's 200-week moving average price?

Cognex Corporation's 200-week moving average is $44.04 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when CGNX drops below its 200-week moving average?

CGNX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +45.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.

Is CGNX a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about CGNX as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 46. Free cash flow yield is 1.9%. Return on equity is 11.1%. Price-to-book is 6.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does CGNX compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in CGNX would have grown to $5541, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 12.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CGNX has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does CGNX pay a dividend?

Yes. Cognex Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 56.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-18