CG
The Carlyle Group Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) closed at $49.44 as of 2026-05-01, trading 21.8% above its 200-week moving average of $40.61. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 19.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 31, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 682 weeks of data, CG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.7%.
With a market cap of $17.8 billion, CG is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 14.1%. The stock trades at 3.1x book value.
Over the past 13.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CG would have grown to $306, compared to $563 for the S&P 500. CG has returned 8.9% annualized vs 14.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying CG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.6% after 12 months (median +33.0%), compared to +19.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +28.2% vs +33.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CG has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +25.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2013 | Jul 2013 | 3 | 4.0% | +45.6% | +293.5% |
| Aug 2013 | Aug 2013 | 1 | 2.0% | +34.4% | +284.2% |
| Sep 2013 | Sep 2013 | 3 | 3.9% | +37.4% | +291.8% |
| Oct 2014 | Nov 2014 | 1 | 0.4% | -24.5% | +235.2% |
| Dec 2014 | Mar 2015 | 12 | 10.3% | -32.1% | +249.4% |
| Aug 2015 | Jul 2017 | 101 | 45.7% | -25.4% | +245.0% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 7.8% | +94.1% | +294.9% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 17 | 19.5% | +13.6% | +80.4% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 18 | 19.1% | +63.3% | +80.5% |
| Jul 2023 | Nov 2023 | 17 | 16.7% | +42.7% | +67.4% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 5.6% | +33.1% | +41.4% |
| Average | 16 | — | +25.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CG below its 200-week moving average?
No. The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) is currently 21.8% above its 200-week moving average of $40.61. It would need to fall to $40.61 to cross below the line.
What is CG's 200-week moving average price?
The Carlyle Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $40.61 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CG drops below its 200-week moving average?
CG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +25.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is CG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CG as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 31. Return on equity is 14.1%. Price-to-book is 3.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 13.1 years, $100 invested in CG would have grown to $306, compared to $563 for the S&P 500. That's 8.9% annualized vs 14.1% for the index. CG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CG pay a dividend?
Yes. The Carlyle Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 283.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01