CG
The Carlyle Group Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) closed at $58.71 as of 2026-02-02, trading 47.3% above its 200-week moving average of $39.86. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 47.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 670 weeks of data, CG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.9%.
With a market cap of $21.2 billion, CG is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 12.5%. The stock trades at 3.8x book value.
Over the past 12.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CG would have grown to $361, compared to $539 for the S&P 500. CG has returned 10.4% annualized vs 13.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: CG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying CG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.9% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +19.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +28.2% vs +33.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CG has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +24.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2013 | Jul 2013 | 3 | 4.0% | +45.6% | +364.3% |
| Aug 2013 | Aug 2013 | 1 | 2.0% | +34.4% | +353.3% |
| Sep 2013 | Sep 2013 | 3 | 3.9% | +37.4% | +362.3% |
| Oct 2014 | Nov 2014 | 1 | 0.4% | -24.5% | +295.5% |
| Dec 2014 | Mar 2015 | 12 | 10.3% | -32.1% | +312.3% |
| Aug 2015 | Jul 2017 | 101 | 45.7% | -25.4% | +307.1% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 7.8% | +94.1% | +365.9% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 17 | 19.5% | +13.6% | +112.9% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 18 | 19.1% | +63.3% | +112.9% |
| Jul 2023 | Nov 2023 | 17 | 16.7% | +42.7% | +97.5% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 5.6% | N/A | +66.8% |
| Average | 16 | — | +24.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02