CFLT
Confluent Inc. Technology - Data Streaming Investor Relations →
Confluent Inc. (CFLT) closed at $30.99 as of 2026-03-20, trading 19.4% above its 200-week moving average of $25.95. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 18.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 83, CFLT is in overbought territory.
Trading activity has gone quiet — just 0.3x of its usual 14-week average. But the buying that is happening outweighs the selling (1.27 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When volume dries up but buyers are still showing up more than sellers, it can mean the worst of the selling is over and the stock is quietly building a floor.
Over the past 199 weeks of data, CFLT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time. On average, these episodes lasted 184 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CFLT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +59.6%.
With a market cap of $11.1 billion, CFLT is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.9%. Return on equity stands at -27.7%. The stock trades at 9.4x book value.
Share count has increased 23.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 3.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CFLT would have grown to $143, compared to $166 for the S&P 500. CFLT has returned 9.6% annualized vs 13.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CFLT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CFLT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 1 historical episodes, buying CFLT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +60.0% after 12 months (median +60.0%), compared to +3.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.0% vs +32.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CFLT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CFLT has crossed below its 200-week MA 1 time with an average 1-year return of +59.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2022 | Dec 2025 | 184 | 61.2% | +59.6% | +43.1% |
| Average | 184 | — | +59.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CFLT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Confluent Inc. (CFLT) is currently 19.4% above its 200-week moving average of $25.95. It would need to fall to $25.95 to cross below the line.
What is CFLT's 200-week moving average price?
Confluent Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $25.95 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CFLT drops below its 200-week moving average?
CFLT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +59.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 184 weeks on average.
Is CFLT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CFLT as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 83 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 1.9%. Return on equity is -27.7%. Price-to-book is 9.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CFLT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 3.9 years, $100 invested in CFLT would have grown to $143, compared to $166 for the S&P 500. That's 9.6% annualized vs 13.8% for the index. CFLT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20