CFLT
Confluent Inc. Technology - Data Streaming Investor Relations →
Confluent Inc. (CFLT) closed at $30.57 as of 2026-02-02, trading 18.2% above its 200-week moving average of $25.87. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 17.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, CFLT is in overbought territory.
Over the past 193 weeks of data, CFLT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time. On average, these episodes lasted 184 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CFLT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +59.6%.
With a market cap of $10.8 billion, CFLT is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.9%. Return on equity stands at -29.6%. The stock trades at 9.6x book value.
Share count has increased 22.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 3.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CFLT would have grown to $141, compared to $176 for the S&P 500. CFLT has returned 9.4% annualized vs 15.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: CFLT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CFLT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 1 historical episodes, buying CFLT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +60.0% after 12 months (median +60.0%), compared to +3.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.0% vs +32.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CFLT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CFLT has crossed below its 200-week MA 1 time with an average 1-year return of +59.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2022 | Dec 2025 | 184 | 61.2% | +59.6% | +41.1% |
| Average | 184 | — | +59.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02