CERT
Certara, Inc. Healthcare - Health Information Services Investor Relations →
Certara, Inc. (CERT) closed at $6.15 as of 2026-03-20, trading 57.8% below its 200-week moving average of $14.58. This places CERT in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -54.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 227 weeks of data, CERT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time. On average, these episodes lasted 227 weeks.
With a market cap of $980 million, CERT is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -0.1%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 4.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CERT would have grown to $24, compared to $151 for the S&P 500. CERT has returned -27.9% annualized vs 9.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -4.5% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CERT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CERT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 1 historical episodes, buying CERT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -33.0% after 12 months (median -33.0%), compared to -9.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -44.0% vs +3.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CERT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CERT has crossed below its 200-week MA 1 time
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2021 | Ongoing | 227+ | 59.5% | Ongoing | -79.8% |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CERT below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Certara, Inc. (CERT) is trading 57.8% below its 200-week moving average of $14.58. The current price is $6.15.
What is CERT's 200-week moving average price?
Certara, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $14.58 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CERT drops below its 200-week moving average?
CERT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time in our data. These episodes lasted 227 weeks on average.
Is CERT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CERT as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 33. Free cash flow yield is 9.8%. Return on equity is -0.1%. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CERT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 4.4 years, $100 invested in CERT would have grown to $24, compared to $151 for the S&P 500. That's -27.9% annualized vs 9.9% for the index. CERT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20