CE
Celanese Corporation Materials - Chemicals Investor Relations →
Celanese Corporation (CE) closed at $45.41 as of 2026-09-18, trading 49.6% below its 200-week moving average of $90.18. This places CE in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -49.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 28, CE is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.77 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1082 weeks of data, CE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.0%.
With a market cap of $5.0 billion, CE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 19.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -22.2%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Over the past 20.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CE would have grown to $315, compared to $893 for the S&P 500. CE has returned 5.7% annualized vs 11.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying CE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +17.4% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +19.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 77% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +6.3% vs +32.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $36.86 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $39.88 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $43.43 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $47.68 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $52.85 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | $2.22 | $2.45 | +10.2% |
| 2026-05-05 | $0.90 | $0.85 | -5.2% |
| 2026-02-17 | $0.91 | $0.67 | -26.3% |
| 2025-11-06 | $1.22 | $1.34 | +9.6% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CE has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +24.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2006 | Aug 2006 | 2 | 2.9% | +110.4% | +238.7% |
| Sep 2006 | Oct 2006 | 5 | 1.8% | +96.5% | +232.3% |
| Sep 2008 | Aug 2009 | 44 | 71.8% | +10.5% | +172.0% |
| Aug 2009 | Oct 2009 | 10 | 12.1% | -1.0% | +120.2% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 19 | 16.7% | +82.6% | +118.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Jul 2020 | 22 | 31.9% | +52.0% | -46.0% |
| Jun 2022 | Jan 2023 | 28 | 25.7% | +2.7% | -58.3% |
| Feb 2023 | Jul 2023 | 23 | 15.6% | +27.3% | -60.3% |
| Aug 2023 | Aug 2023 | 2 | 1.5% | +11.9% | -60.2% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 5 | 4.8% | +16.3% | -60.8% |
| Aug 2024 | Aug 2024 | 2 | 2.3% | -61.7% | -63.8% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 3 | 7.6% | -59.1% | -61.8% |
| Oct 2024 | Ongoing | 100+ | 68.3% | Ongoing | -64.4% |
| Average | 20 | — | +24.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CE below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Celanese Corporation (CE) is trading 49.6% below its 200-week moving average of $90.18. The current price is $45.41.
What is CE's 200-week moving average price?
Celanese Corporation's 200-week moving average is $90.18 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CE drops below its 200-week moving average?
CE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +24.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is CE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CE as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 28 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 19.1%. Return on equity is -22.2%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20.8 years, $100 invested in CE would have grown to $315, compared to $893 for the S&P 500. That's 5.7% annualized vs 11.1% for the index. CE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CE pay a dividend?
Yes. Celanese Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 26.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18