CE

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YES
45.0% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -55.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $99.78
14-Week RSI 73

Celanese Corporation (CE) closed at $54.88 as of 2026-02-02, trading 45.0% below its 200-week moving average of $99.78. This places CE in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -55.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 73, CE is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1050 weeks of data, CE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.0%.

With a market cap of $6.0 billion, CE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -50.5%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.

Over the past 20.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CE would have grown to $380, compared to $808 for the S&P 500. CE has returned 6.8% annualized vs 10.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -25.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: CE vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CE Crosses Below the Line?

Across 13 historical episodes, buying CE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +17.4% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +19.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 77% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.6% vs +31.4% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CE has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +24.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jul 2006Aug 200622.9%+110.4%+308.6%
Sep 2006Oct 200661.8%+96.5%+300.9%
Sep 2008Aug 20094471.8%+10.5%+228.2%
Aug 2009Oct 20091012.1%-1.0%+165.7%
May 2010Sep 20101916.7%+82.6%+163.9%
Feb 2020Jul 20202231.9%+52.0%-34.8%
Jun 2022Jan 20232825.7%+2.7%-49.7%
Feb 2023Jul 20232315.6%+27.3%-52.0%
Aug 2023Aug 202321.5%+11.9%-52.0%
Oct 2023Nov 202355.3%+16.3%-52.7%
Aug 2024Aug 202422.3%-61.7%-56.3%
Sep 2024Sep 202437.6%-59.1%-53.9%
Oct 2024Ongoing68+68.3%Ongoing-57.1%
Average18+24.0%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02