CDW

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YES
22.4% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -31.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $183.81
14-Week RSI 38

CDW Corporation (CDW) closed at $142.62 as of 2026-02-02, trading 22.4% below its 200-week moving average of $183.81. This places CDW in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -31.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 610 weeks of data, CDW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -14.2%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $18.7 billion, CDW is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.7%. Return on equity stands at 43.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 7.1x book value.

Over the past 11.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CDW would have grown to $499, compared to $431 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.7% vs 13.2% for the index — confirming CDW as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 19% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Growth of $100: CDW vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CDW Crosses Below the Line?

Across 2 historical episodes, buying CDW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -16.5% after 12 months (median -14.0%), compared to +19.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CDW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CDW has crossed below its 200-week MA 2 times with an average 1-year return of +-14.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 2024Jan 2025128.2%-14.2%-22.9%
Feb 2025Ongoing52+31.6%Ongoing-23.6%
Average32+-14.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02