CCJ
Cameco Corporation Energy - Uranium Investor Relations →
Cameco Corporation (CCJ) closed at $86.38 as of 2026-07-31, trading 52.2% above its 200-week moving average of $56.76. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 55.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 23, CCJ is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.84 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1537 weeks of data, CCJ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 60 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CCJ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.9%.
Return on equity stands at 9.6%. The stock trades at 7.6x book value.
Over the past 29.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CCJ would have grown to $2087, compared to $1566 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.8% vs 9.8% for the index — confirming CCJ as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 88.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CCJ vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CCJ Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying CCJ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.2% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +17.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 46% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +63.2% vs +29.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CCJ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CCJ would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CCJ's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $95.93 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $107.10 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $121.21 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $139.62 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $164.61 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CCJ's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CCJ has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +23.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1997 | Apr 2001 | 215 | 62.3% | -17.8% | +1980.0% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 3 | 9.0% | +111.3% | +3763.7% |
| Aug 2008 | Oct 2010 | 116 | 62.0% | -12.8% | +226.6% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 1 | 3.5% | -19.7% | +252.9% |
| Apr 2011 | Feb 2014 | 151 | 38.1% | -30.2% | +246.4% |
| Apr 2014 | Jun 2018 | 216 | 50.3% | -27.9% | +330.7% |
| Jun 2018 | Sep 2018 | 14 | 12.7% | -5.8% | +684.7% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 3.0% | -13.5% | +738.7% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 6 | 4.8% | +4.5% | +756.3% |
| Jul 2019 | Apr 2020 | 40 | 36.5% | +16.8% | +765.6% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 0.3% | +101.0% | +794.1% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 1 | 0.3% | +103.1% | +790.5% |
| Sep 2020 | Nov 2020 | 9 | 8.1% | +101.3% | +777.2% |
| Average | 60 | — | +23.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCJ below its 200-week moving average?
No. Cameco Corporation (CCJ) is currently 52.2% above its 200-week moving average of $56.76. It would need to fall to $56.76 to cross below the line.
What is CCJ's 200-week moving average price?
Cameco Corporation's 200-week moving average is $56.76 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CCJ drops below its 200-week moving average?
CCJ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 60 weeks on average.
Is CCJ a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CCJ as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 23 (oversold). Return on equity is 9.6%. Price-to-book is 7.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CCJ compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 29.5 years, $100 invested in CCJ would have grown to $2087, compared to $1566 for the S&P 500. That's 10.8% annualized vs 9.8% for the index. CCJ has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CCJ pay a dividend?
Yes. Cameco Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 20.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31