CCI
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Crown Castle Inc. (CCI) closed at $76.30 as of 2026-07-31, trading 19.1% below its 200-week moving average of $94.36. This places CCI in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -20.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.01 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1410 weeks of data, CCI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 70 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CCI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.5%.
With a market cap of $33.3 billion, CCI is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.1%. The stock trades at -9.9x book value.
Over the past 27.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CCI would have grown to $618, compared to $903 for the S&P 500. CCI has returned 7.0% annualized vs 8.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 22.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CCI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CCI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying CCI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.7% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +5.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -14.2% vs +5.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CCI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CCI would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CCI's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $75.49 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $79.51 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $83.98 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $88.99 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $94.63 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CCI's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CCI has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +17.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1999 | Aug 1999 | 1 | 9.5% | +140.2% | +754.1% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2000 | 1 | 0.1% | -54.6% | +442.7% |
| Mar 2001 | Mar 2004 | 160 | 93.9% | -62.6% | +458.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Oct 2009 | 54 | 67.3% | +21.9% | +405.0% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 4.8% | +42.7% | +318.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Ongoing | 201+ | 40.8% | Ongoing | -35.5% |
| Average | 70 | — | +17.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCI below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Crown Castle Inc. (CCI) is trading 19.1% below its 200-week moving average of $94.36. The current price is $76.30.
What is CCI's 200-week moving average price?
Crown Castle Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $94.36 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CCI drops below its 200-week moving average?
CCI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 70 weeks on average.
Is CCI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CCI as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 40. Free cash flow yield is 3.1%. Price-to-book is -9.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CCI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 27.1 years, $100 invested in CCI would have grown to $618, compared to $903 for the S&P 500. That's 7.0% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. CCI has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CCI pay a dividend?
Yes. Crown Castle Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 555.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31