CBRL
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Restaurants Investor Relations →
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL) closed at $47.34 as of 2026-06-19, trading 20.0% below its 200-week moving average of $59.16. This places CBRL in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -21.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 86, CBRL is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.34 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2280 weeks of data, CBRL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 34 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CBRL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +1.8%.
With a market cap of $1058 million, CBRL is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 5.6%. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CBRL would have grown to $337, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. CBRL has returned 3.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CBRL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CBRL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying CBRL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -10.9% after 12 months (median -14.0%), compared to +6.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 24% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -9.2% vs +10.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CBRL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. CBRL currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CBRL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CBRL has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +1.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1984 | Jan 1985 | 13 | 15.8% | -23.1% | +7814.3% |
| Feb 1985 | Mar 1986 | 55 | 28.0% | +2.6% | +7952.0% |
| Jul 1986 | Jul 1986 | 1 | 1.6% | +66.6% | +6887.2% |
| Aug 1986 | Aug 1986 | 1 | 2.4% | +66.6% | +6887.2% |
| Aug 1986 | Dec 1986 | 14 | 13.8% | +81.4% | +6887.2% |
| Oct 1994 | May 1996 | 86 | 30.3% | -12.0% | +356.8% |
| Jul 1996 | Nov 1996 | 20 | 15.7% | +20.0% | +338.4% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 6 | 8.2% | -43.8% | +321.5% |
| Nov 1998 | Nov 2000 | 107 | 64.6% | -47.0% | +288.4% |
| Dec 2000 | Aug 2001 | 36 | 22.0% | +60.4% | +434.4% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 3 | 5.1% | +29.8% | +399.1% |
| Jun 2006 | Aug 2006 | 9 | 8.2% | +26.9% | +180.7% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 4.3% | -30.7% | +154.4% |
| Aug 2007 | Sep 2007 | 3 | 5.6% | -29.1% | +150.3% |
| Oct 2007 | Sep 2009 | 100 | 67.3% | -48.6% | +145.1% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 38 | 54.6% | +10.9% | -58.3% |
| Dec 2020 | Jan 2021 | 5 | 4.6% | -3.7% | -56.9% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 2.2% | -11.5% | -57.0% |
| Jul 2021 | Aug 2021 | 6 | 3.9% | -33.1% | -58.7% |
| Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 2 | 3.4% | -13.7% | -57.4% |
| Oct 2021 | Nov 2021 | 4 | 7.4% | -31.7% | -58.8% |
| Nov 2021 | Ongoing | 239+ | 61.4% | Ongoing | -55.4% |
| Average | 34 | — | +1.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBRL below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL) is trading 20.0% below its 200-week moving average of $59.16. The current price is $47.34.
What is CBRL's 200-week moving average price?
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $59.16 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CBRL drops below its 200-week moving average?
CBRL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +1.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 34 weeks on average.
Is CBRL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CBRL as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 86 (overbought). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 5.6%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CBRL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in CBRL would have grown to $337, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 3.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CBRL has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CBRL pay a dividend?
Yes. Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 229.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19