CBL

CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Retail Investor Relations →

NO
94.3% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 102.2% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $24.39
14-Week RSI 82
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.3x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.79

CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. (CBL) closed at $47.40 as of 2026-06-19, trading 94.3% above its 200-week moving average of $24.39. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 102.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 82, CBL is in overbought territory.

Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.79 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 193 weeks of data, CBL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CBL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.2%.

With a market cap of $1467 million, CBL is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 13.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 51.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.7x book value.

Over the past 3.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CBL would have grown to $225, compared to $203 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 24.2% vs 20.8% for the index — confirming CBL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 6.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: CBL vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CBL Crosses Below the Line?

Across 6 historical episodes, buying CBL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +4.7% after 12 months (median +0.0%), compared to +21.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.8% vs +48.5% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CBL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CBL would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score -1.72σ
Current FCF Yield 18.08%
Baseline Yield 21.76%
Historical σ 1.49pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where CBL's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-05.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$37.06Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$39.56Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$42.41Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$45.71Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$49.57Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from CBL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation N/A Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -2.72σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative -3.13σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +0.3pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 46th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -13.4pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+18.5pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Advertisement

Historical Touches

CBL has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +6.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 2022Oct 202239.9%-6.6%+158.9%
Dec 2022Jan 2023510.9%-0.5%+145.1%
Jan 2023Jan 202310.9%-0.5%+136.5%
Feb 2023Mar 202354.9%+1.3%+139.0%
Apr 2023Dec 20233515.6%-7.2%+136.3%
Feb 2024Jun 2024196.1%+50.8%+142.9%
Average11+6.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CBL below its 200-week moving average?

No. CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. (CBL) is currently 94.3% above its 200-week moving average of $24.39. It would need to fall to $24.39 to cross below the line.

What is CBL's 200-week moving average price?

CBL & Associates Properties, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $24.39 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when CBL drops below its 200-week moving average?

CBL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +6.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.

Is CBL a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about CBL as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 82 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 13.3%. Return on equity is 51.4%. Price-to-book is 3.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does CBL compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 3.8 years, $100 invested in CBL would have grown to $225, compared to $203 for the S&P 500. That's 24.2% annualized vs 20.8% for the index. CBL has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does CBL pay a dividend?

Yes. CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 519.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19