CARR

Carrier Global Corporation Industrials - HVAC Investor Relations →

NO
17.1% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 9.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $54.60
14-Week RSI 61

Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) closed at $63.92 as of 2026-02-02, trading 17.1% above its 200-week moving average of $54.60. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 9.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 259 weeks of data, CARR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 4 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CARR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +26.2%.

With a market cap of $53.4 billion, CARR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.9%. Return on equity stands at 10.9%. The stock trades at 3.9x book value.

Over the past 5.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CARR would have grown to $188, compared to $194 for the S&P 500. CARR has returned 13.2% annualized vs 14.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 14.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: CARR vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CARR Crosses Below the Line?

Across 5 historical episodes, buying CARR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +36.3% after 12 months (median +40.0%), compared to +14.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +94.3% vs +47.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CARR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CARR has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +26.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 2022May 202244.0%+11.1%+77.1%
Jun 2022Jul 2022712.4%+23.4%+80.8%
Sep 2022Oct 2022611.4%+44.1%+74.9%
Nov 2025Nov 202513.1%N/A+22.5%
Dec 2025Jan 202642.5%N/A+21.3%
Average4+26.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02