CARR
Carrier Global Corporation Industrials - HVAC Investor Relations →
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) closed at $58.07 as of 2026-03-20, trading 5.0% above its 200-week moving average of $55.31. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 0.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, up-weeks have carried more volume than down-weeks (1.70 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When trading picks up, it's more often on days the price is rising — buyers are showing more interest than sellers.
Over the past 265 weeks of data, CARR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 4 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CARR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +26.2%.
With a market cap of $48.5 billion, CARR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.1%. Return on equity stands at 10.9%. The stock trades at 3.5x book value.
Over the past 5.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CARR would have grown to $170, compared to $183 for the S&P 500. CARR has returned 10.9% annualized vs 12.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 14.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CARR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CARR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying CARR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +36.3% after 12 months (median +40.0%), compared to +14.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +94.3% vs +47.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CARR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CARR has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +26.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 4 | 4.0% | +11.1% | +60.9% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 7 | 12.4% | +23.4% | +64.3% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 6 | 11.4% | +44.1% | +58.9% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 1 | 3.1% | N/A | +11.3% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 4 | 2.5% | N/A | +10.2% |
| Average | 4 | — | +26.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CARR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is currently 5.0% above its 200-week moving average of $55.31. It would need to fall to $55.31 to cross below the line.
What is CARR's 200-week moving average price?
Carrier Global Corporation's 200-week moving average is $55.31 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CARR drops below its 200-week moving average?
CARR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +26.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 4 weeks on average.
Is CARR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CARR as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 60. Free cash flow yield is 2.1%. Return on equity is 10.9%. Price-to-book is 3.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CARR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 5.2 years, $100 invested in CARR would have grown to $170, compared to $183 for the S&P 500. That's 10.9% annualized vs 12.4% for the index. CARR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CARR pay a dividend?
Yes. Carrier Global Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 165.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20