CARG
CarGurus, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Auto & Truck Dealerships Investor Relations →
CarGurus, Inc. (CARG) closed at $28.61 as of 2026-02-02, trading 11.5% above its 200-week moving average of $25.67. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 25.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 35, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 386 weeks of data, CARG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -22.1%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $2.8 billion, CARG is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 35.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 7.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 11.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 7.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CARG would have grown to $51, compared to $267 for the S&P 500. CARG has returned -8.5% annualized vs 14.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 24.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: CARG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CARG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying CARG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -20.6% after 12 months (median -24.0%), compared to +9.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -27.1% vs +32.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CARG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CARG has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +-22.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 6 | 16.1% | +8.5% | -19.0% |
| Apr 2019 | Apr 2019 | 1 | 2.4% | -49.6% | -21.2% |
| May 2019 | Nov 2019 | 25 | 20.0% | -37.4% | -22.2% |
| Dec 2019 | Dec 2020 | 52 | 55.4% | -6.9% | -21.9% |
| Dec 2020 | Sep 2021 | 38 | 26.9% | +6.0% | -9.8% |
| Dec 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 0.5% | -57.4% | -11.8% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 3 | 8.7% | -49.1% | -10.4% |
| Apr 2022 | Jun 2024 | 110 | 56.1% | -49.7% | -12.5% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 1 | 5.0% | +36.6% | +22.6% |
| Average | 26 | — | +-22.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02