CAR
Avis Budget Group, Inc. Industrials - Rental & Leasing Services Investor Relations →
Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR) closed at $120.42 as of 2026-02-02, trading 17.9% below its 200-week moving average of $146.75. This places CAR in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -21.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 35, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2164 weeks of data, CAR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CAR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.5%.
With a market cap of $4.2 billion, CAR is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. The stock trades at -1.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 37.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CAR would have grown to $1072, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. CAR has returned 7.4% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: CAR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CAR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying CAR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.0% after 12 months (median -17.0%), compared to +10.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 43% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +95.6% vs +21.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CAR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CAR has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +38.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1984 | Sep 1984 | 2 | 6.0% | +62.5% | +10898.4% |
| Oct 1986 | Dec 1986 | 8 | 8.0% | +91.8% | +7082.7% |
| Oct 1987 | Dec 1987 | 7 | 10.9% | +73.2% | +6184.8% |
| Dec 1988 | Jan 1989 | 6 | 13.1% | -1.9% | +4857.0% |
| Feb 1989 | Aug 1989 | 27 | 31.0% | +6.8% | +4656.1% |
| Sep 1989 | Sep 1989 | 2 | 4.2% | +39.3% | +4593.7% |
| Oct 1989 | Feb 1990 | 17 | 15.5% | +29.6% | +4767.6% |
| Apr 1998 | Apr 1998 | 2 | 7.0% | -13.3% | +308.4% |
| May 1998 | Dec 1999 | 82 | 61.4% | -14.5% | +285.7% |
| Jan 2000 | Jun 2001 | 74 | 56.9% | -37.0% | +317.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 13 | 40.4% | -18.1% | +394.5% |
| Jan 2002 | Feb 2002 | 4 | 5.3% | -33.3% | +421.3% |
| Jun 2002 | May 2003 | 48 | 35.6% | +11.6% | +447.0% |
| Oct 2005 | Nov 2005 | 3 | 1.0% | -30.6% | +355.1% |
| Dec 2005 | May 2007 | 75 | 36.4% | -17.4% | +376.9% |
| Jun 2007 | Jul 2007 | 2 | 3.6% | -63.1% | +329.9% |
| Jul 2007 | Apr 2010 | 142 | 98.3% | -80.0% | +338.3% |
| May 2010 | Nov 2010 | 26 | 31.0% | +56.8% | +979.6% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 1 | 4.7% | +59.0% | +1210.7% |
| Nov 2015 | Dec 2017 | 106 | 49.1% | +8.0% | +255.9% |
| Feb 2018 | Feb 2018 | 2 | 5.6% | -37.3% | +209.3% |
| May 2018 | Jun 2018 | 2 | 7.4% | -26.2% | +229.8% |
| Jun 2018 | Apr 2019 | 41 | 38.7% | +8.2% | +290.0% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 7 | 18.9% | -56.6% | +273.0% |
| Aug 2019 | Jan 2020 | 22 | 27.8% | -10.3% | +303.5% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 1 | 3.4% | +26.0% | +286.4% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 26 | 68.8% | +71.6% | +291.4% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 5 | 16.6% | +208.1% | +309.6% |
| Nov 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 4.7% | +861.1% | +309.5% |
| Feb 2024 | Jun 2025 | 71 | 59.8% | -19.2% | +7.3% |
| Aug 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 1.0% | N/A | -21.7% |
| Oct 2025 | Ongoing | 18+ | 21.9% | Ongoing | -18.1% |
| Average | 26 | — | +38.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02