CAR
Avis Budget Group, Inc. Industrials - Rental & Leasing Services Investor Relations →
Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR) closed at $99.90 as of 2026-03-20, trading 30.1% below its 200-week moving average of $142.83. This places CAR in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -29.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 21, CAR is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.96 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2170 weeks of data, CAR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CAR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.5%.
With a market cap of $3.5 billion, CAR is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. The stock trades at -1.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CAR would have grown to $889, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. CAR has returned 6.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $40,060,075. Notably, these purchases occurred while CAR is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CAR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CAR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying CAR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.0% after 12 months (median -17.0%), compared to +10.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 43% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +94.7% vs +21.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CAR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CAR has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +38.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1984 | Sep 1984 | 2 | 6.0% | +62.5% | +9024.3% |
| Oct 1986 | Dec 1986 | 8 | 8.0% | +91.8% | +5858.7% |
| Oct 1987 | Dec 1987 | 7 | 10.9% | +73.2% | +5113.9% |
| Dec 1988 | Jan 1989 | 6 | 13.1% | -1.9% | +4012.3% |
| Feb 1989 | Aug 1989 | 27 | 31.0% | +6.8% | +3845.6% |
| Sep 1989 | Sep 1989 | 2 | 4.2% | +39.3% | +3793.9% |
| Oct 1989 | Feb 1990 | 17 | 15.5% | +29.6% | +3938.1% |
| Apr 1998 | Apr 1998 | 2 | 7.0% | -13.3% | +238.8% |
| May 1998 | Dec 1999 | 82 | 61.4% | -14.5% | +220.0% |
| Jan 2000 | Jun 2001 | 74 | 56.9% | -37.0% | +246.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 13 | 40.4% | -18.1% | +310.2% |
| Jan 2002 | Feb 2002 | 4 | 5.3% | -33.3% | +332.5% |
| Jun 2002 | May 2003 | 48 | 35.6% | +11.6% | +353.8% |
| Oct 2005 | Nov 2005 | 3 | 1.0% | -30.6% | +277.5% |
| Dec 2005 | May 2007 | 75 | 36.4% | -17.4% | +295.6% |
| Jun 2007 | Jul 2007 | 2 | 3.6% | -63.1% | +256.7% |
| Jul 2007 | Apr 2010 | 142 | 98.3% | -80.0% | +263.6% |
| May 2010 | Nov 2010 | 26 | 31.0% | +56.8% | +795.6% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 1 | 4.7% | +59.0% | +987.3% |
| Nov 2015 | Dec 2017 | 106 | 49.1% | +8.0% | +195.3% |
| Feb 2018 | Feb 2018 | 2 | 5.6% | -37.3% | +156.6% |
| May 2018 | Jun 2018 | 2 | 7.4% | -26.2% | +173.6% |
| Jun 2018 | Apr 2019 | 41 | 38.7% | +8.2% | +223.5% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 7 | 18.9% | -56.6% | +209.4% |
| Aug 2019 | Jan 2020 | 22 | 27.8% | -10.3% | +234.8% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 1 | 3.4% | +26.0% | +220.6% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 26 | 68.8% | +71.6% | +224.7% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 5 | 16.6% | +208.1% | +239.8% |
| Nov 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 4.7% | +861.1% | +239.7% |
| Feb 2024 | Jun 2025 | 71 | 59.8% | -19.2% | -11.0% |
| Aug 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 1.0% | N/A | -35.0% |
| Oct 2025 | Ongoing | 24+ | 33.5% | Ongoing | -32.0% |
| Average | 27 | — | +38.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAR below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR) is trading 30.1% below its 200-week moving average of $142.83. The current price is $99.90.
What is CAR's 200-week moving average price?
Avis Budget Group, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $142.83 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CAR drops below its 200-week moving average?
CAR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +38.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 27 weeks on average.
Is CAR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CAR as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 21 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Price-to-book is -1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CAR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in CAR would have grown to $889, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 6.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. CAR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20