CAG
Conagra Brands Inc. Consumer Staples - Food Investor Relations →
Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG) closed at $19.35 as of 2026-02-02, trading 24.2% below its 200-week moving average of $25.53. This places CAG in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -29.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 73, CAG is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, CAG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CAG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +3.7%.
With a market cap of $9.3 billion, CAG is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.5%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -1.2%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CAG would have grown to $491, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. CAG has returned 4.9% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: CAG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CAG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying CAG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.2% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +2.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 52% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +12.5% vs +12.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CAG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CAG has crossed below its 200-week MA 23 times with an average 1-year return of +3.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1993 | May 1993 | 4 | 3.7% | +16.8% | +546.0% |
| Jun 1993 | Sep 1993 | 12 | 5.7% | +27.7% | +515.8% |
| Dec 1993 | Dec 1993 | 1 | 1.0% | +29.2% | +486.8% |
| Mar 1999 | May 1999 | 6 | 6.6% | -25.8% | +162.2% |
| Jun 1999 | Jun 1999 | 3 | 2.4% | -14.0% | +153.4% |
| Jul 1999 | Dec 2000 | 73 | 40.4% | -16.5% | +156.5% |
| Jan 2001 | Oct 2001 | 42 | 26.3% | +3.4% | +165.4% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 0.4% | +11.1% | +166.6% |
| Mar 2003 | Apr 2003 | 7 | 7.2% | +38.7% | +174.9% |
| Jun 2005 | Sep 2005 | 14 | 4.1% | -2.0% | +122.5% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 2 | 0.0% | +15.7% | +119.2% |
| Nov 2005 | May 2006 | 24 | 14.0% | +14.9% | +122.4% |
| May 2006 | Aug 2006 | 13 | 4.3% | +16.7% | +121.4% |
| Oct 2007 | Nov 2007 | 2 | 1.4% | -22.4% | +105.7% |
| Dec 2007 | Mar 2008 | 12 | 10.0% | -24.1% | +106.2% |
| Apr 2008 | May 2008 | 3 | 0.7% | -18.8% | +105.0% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2009 | 64 | 34.9% | -11.2% | +104.1% |
| Nov 2018 | Dec 2019 | 57 | 37.4% | -10.1% | -20.8% |
| Jan 2020 | Apr 2020 | 13 | 22.5% | +9.9% | -20.3% |
| Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | 1.0% | +21.4% | -22.2% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 2.4% | +20.6% | -21.3% |
| Aug 2023 | Aug 2024 | 55 | 18.2% | +1.1% | -28.4% |
| Sep 2024 | Ongoing | 71+ | 37.1% | Ongoing | -27.7% |
| Average | 21 | — | +3.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02