CACI
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CACI International Inc (CACI) closed at $618.50 as of 2026-02-02, trading 59.4% above its 200-week moving average of $388.15. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 60.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, CACI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CACI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +29.2%.
With a market cap of $13.7 billion, CACI is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.0%. Return on equity stands at 13.2%. The stock trades at 3.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CACI would have grown to $29106, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 18.7% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming CACI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: CACI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CACI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying CACI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.4% after 12 months (median +35.0%), compared to +16.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 88% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +69.5% vs +22.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CACI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CACI has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +29.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1981 | May 1981 | 6 | 5.9% | +126.7% | +77088.8% |
| Feb 1984 | Feb 1987 | 156 | 66.6% | -17.3% | +24640.0% |
| May 1987 | Aug 1987 | 14 | 13.1% | -24.1% | +34024.1% |
| Oct 1987 | Mar 1988 | 20 | 33.6% | +23.5% | +58111.8% |
| Apr 1988 | Jun 1988 | 11 | 15.3% | -8.5% | +42010.6% |
| Aug 1988 | Jan 1989 | 21 | 12.3% | -17.0% | +42010.6% |
| Jan 1989 | Apr 1990 | 65 | 26.7% | -26.7% | +43882.2% |
| Aug 1990 | Aug 1990 | 1 | 1.5% | +6.8% | +44881.8% |
| Oct 1990 | Dec 1990 | 9 | 15.4% | +23.8% | +47023.8% |
| Dec 1990 | Jan 1991 | 5 | 10.6% | +28.6% | +47023.8% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 2 | 0.4% | +44.1% | +7978.4% |
| Sep 1998 | Oct 1998 | 2 | 5.1% | +37.0% | +7945.5% |
| Apr 1999 | Apr 1999 | 1 | 0.5% | +66.0% | +7454.2% |
| May 2000 | Jun 2000 | 1 | 2.7% | +115.8% | +6410.5% |
| Jun 2000 | Aug 2000 | 7 | 13.3% | +141.0% | +6243.6% |
| Aug 2006 | Aug 2006 | 1 | 3.5% | -2.6% | +1176.6% |
| Jan 2007 | Dec 2009 | 153 | 34.6% | -13.6% | +1200.5% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 7 | 3.9% | +8.4% | +1199.4% |
| Apr 2010 | Jul 2010 | 12 | 11.4% | +28.8% | +1204.0% |
| Aug 2010 | Oct 2010 | 11 | 11.4% | +18.9% | +1392.2% |
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 | 0.4% | +13.9% | +1198.6% |
| Apr 2012 | Jun 2012 | 6 | 16.0% | +24.6% | +1158.1% |
| Oct 2012 | Oct 2012 | 3 | 3.5% | +40.2% | +1171.3% |
| Nov 2012 | Nov 2012 | 1 | 0.2% | +42.1% | +1125.2% |
| Feb 2013 | Mar 2013 | 2 | 1.8% | +48.8% | +1120.4% |
| Feb 2025 | Feb 2025 | 1 | 1.1% | N/A | +89.1% |
| Average | 20 | — | +29.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02