CAC

Camden National Corporation Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →

NO
41.5% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 45.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $36.38
14-Week RSI 69
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.7x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.83

Camden National Corporation (CAC) closed at $51.49 as of 2026-06-19, trading 41.5% above its 200-week moving average of $36.38. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 45.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 69, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.83 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1449 weeks of data, CAC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CAC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.1%.

With a market cap of $871 million, CAC is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 11.8%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

Share count has increased 16.2% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 27.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CAC would have grown to $1122, compared to $1192 for the S&P 500. CAC has returned 9.1% annualized vs 9.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -17.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: CAC vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CAC Crosses Below the Line?

Across 25 historical episodes, buying CAC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.0% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +12.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 54% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.1% vs +18.9% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CAC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CAC would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +0.18σ
Current FCF Yield 9.03%
Baseline Yield 9.54%
Historical σ 0.32pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where CAC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-28.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$47.43Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$49.07Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$50.82Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$52.71Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$54.74Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from CAC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation -0.81σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -1.17σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative -0.35σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +11.0pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History N/A Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+15.4pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

CAC has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +8.1% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 1998Nov 1998713.5%+3.8%+990.1%
Mar 1999Apr 199987.2%-23.4%+903.7%
Jul 1999Sep 199999.7%-29.1%+897.7%
Oct 1999Oct 199912.8%-19.3%+924.0%
Nov 1999May 20017934.4%-19.6%+910.1%
Jun 2001Jul 200110.6%+80.3%+994.5%
Sep 2001Sep 200113.2%+53.9%+1019.7%
Jul 2007Aug 200711.9%-6.9%+325.4%
Sep 2007Jun 20098851.8%-3.2%+317.8%
Jun 2009Jun 200918.4%+1.9%+357.7%
Jul 2009Jul 200910.7%-6.5%+322.1%
Aug 2009Aug 200910.6%-2.4%+321.4%
Sep 2009Oct 200911.1%+9.8%+323.0%
Oct 2009Dec 2009910.9%+14.9%+340.7%
Jan 2010Mar 201089.7%+16.3%+327.0%
May 2010Jul 20101012.3%+7.0%+328.9%
Aug 2010Aug 201035.4%-5.6%+333.0%
Aug 2011Oct 20111112.6%+29.4%+358.5%
Nov 2011Nov 2011211.3%+18.3%+356.9%
Mar 2020Feb 20214828.7%+19.4%+69.1%
Mar 2023Dec 20234029.2%-9.2%+56.3%
Jan 2024Jul 20242820.8%+19.8%+55.6%
Aug 2024Aug 202411.1%+7.6%+52.7%
Mar 2025Apr 202521.7%+37.9%+48.4%
Oct 2025Oct 202511.5%N/A+48.5%
Average14+8.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CAC below its 200-week moving average?

No. Camden National Corporation (CAC) is currently 41.5% above its 200-week moving average of $36.38. It would need to fall to $36.38 to cross below the line.

What is CAC's 200-week moving average price?

Camden National Corporation's 200-week moving average is $36.38 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when CAC drops below its 200-week moving average?

CAC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +8.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.

Is CAC a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about CAC as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 69. Return on equity is 11.8%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does CAC compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 27.8 years, $100 invested in CAC would have grown to $1122, compared to $1192 for the S&P 500. That's 9.1% annualized vs 9.3% for the index. CAC has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does CAC pay a dividend?

Yes. Camden National Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 324.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19