BYD

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NO
28.0% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 30.2% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $65.02
14-Week RSI 60

Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) closed at $83.24 as of 2026-02-02, trading 28.0% above its 200-week moving average of $65.02. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 30.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 1638 weeks of data, BYD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 40 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BYD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.4%.

With a market cap of $6.7 billion, BYD is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 87.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.5x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 22.6% over the past three years.

Over the past 31.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BYD would have grown to $741, compared to $2612 for the S&P 500. BYD has returned 6.6% annualized vs 10.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -11.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: BYD vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After BYD Crosses Below the Line?

Across 17 historical episodes, buying BYD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.0% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +14.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +75.8% vs +41.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BYD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

BYD has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +34.4% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 1994May 19953628.3%+16.7%+648.5%
Jul 1995Aug 199555.4%-9.1%+594.1%
Oct 1995May 19962925.7%-43.9%+613.6%
Jul 1996Jul 200126271.0%-56.7%+627.1%
Sep 2001Nov 20011031.7%+389.0%+2580.8%
Aug 2007Aug 200712.2%-63.4%+140.4%
Nov 2007Jan 201222191.1%-86.3%+133.1%
Feb 2012Apr 20135938.5%-19.6%+981.3%
Oct 2014Oct 201411.3%+95.8%+878.8%
Nov 2018Nov 201811.1%+31.0%+280.9%
Dec 2018Jan 2019316.3%+55.7%+346.3%
May 2019Jun 201913.8%-9.9%+265.5%
Aug 2019Sep 2019510.4%+5.6%+257.2%
Sep 2019Oct 201927.0%+26.4%+268.3%
Mar 2020Aug 20202557.6%+170.6%+288.5%
Apr 2024Jul 2024128.8%+30.9%+59.3%
Jul 2024Aug 202434.7%+52.8%+52.7%
Average40+34.4%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02