BXC

BlueLinx Holdings Inc. Industrials - Industrial Distribution Investor Relations →

YES
8.4% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -19.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $86.31
14-Week RSI 61

BlueLinx Holdings Inc. (BXC) closed at $79.05 as of 2026-02-02, trading 8.4% below its 200-week moving average of $86.31. This places BXC in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -19.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 1055 weeks of data, BXC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 60 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BXC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +50.6%.

With a market cap of $624 million, BXC is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 2.2%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.7% over the past three years.

Over the past 20.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BXC would have grown to $89, compared to $802 for the S&P 500. BXC has returned -0.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -29.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: BXC vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After BXC Crosses Below the Line?

Across 11 historical episodes, buying BXC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +46.5% after 12 months (median -8.0%), compared to +16.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 36% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +90.3% vs +16.9% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BXC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

BXC has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +50.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Nov 2005Jan 200679.2%+1.7%-5.7%
Jun 2006Jun 200625.2%-6.0%-17.6%
Jul 2006Apr 20074024.3%-5.2%-11.1%
Apr 2007Dec 201229486.2%-49.4%-10.4%
Apr 2013Apr 201318.8%-43.4%+224.0%
Apr 2013Jun 201721579.8%-50.8%+197.2%
Aug 2017Sep 201731.7%+248.2%+696.1%
Oct 2017Nov 2017718.2%+164.2%+722.6%
Nov 2019Aug 20204079.6%+34.6%+365.8%
Sep 2020Sep 202027.2%+212.6%+357.5%
Feb 2025Ongoing51+36.3%Ongoing-4.2%
Average60+50.6%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02