BWXT
BWX Technologies Inc. Industrials - Nuclear Components Investor Relations →
BWX Technologies Inc. (BWXT) closed at $147.52 as of 2026-09-18, trading 24.4% above its 200-week moving average of $118.59. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 27.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 26, BWXT is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.84 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 793 weeks of data, BWXT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 9 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BWXT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.2%.
With a market cap of $13.5 billion, BWXT is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.1%. Return on equity stands at 28.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 10.1x book value.
Over the past 15.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BWXT would have grown to $966, compared to $769 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.0% vs 14.3% for the index — confirming BWXT as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 85.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BWXT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BWXT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying BWXT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +19.1% after 12 months (median +26.0%), compared to +13.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.0% vs +31.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BWXT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BWXT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BWXT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-02.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $147.75 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $159.66 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $173.66 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $190.36 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $210.60 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | $1.04 | $1.07 | +2.7% |
| 2026-05-04 | $0.93 | $1.12 | +21.0% |
| 2026-02-23 | $0.88 | $1.08 | +22.2% |
| 2025-11-03 | $0.87 | $1.00 | +14.3% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BWXT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BWXT has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +20.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2011 | Jan 2012 | 29 | 25.2% | -1.0% | +862.9% |
| Apr 2012 | Jul 2012 | 17 | 8.3% | +8.4% | +854.9% |
| Aug 2012 | Sep 2012 | 3 | 2.9% | +27.8% | +870.6% |
| Oct 2012 | Jan 2013 | 12 | 8.1% | +33.3% | +867.5% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 3 | 1.8% | +49.5% | +764.6% |
| Nov 2018 | Jan 2019 | 8 | 14.9% | +43.0% | +277.4% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 7 | 17.0% | +53.7% | +271.9% |
| Jul 2020 | Jul 2020 | 2 | 1.6% | +13.6% | +204.3% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 2.4% | -17.9% | +192.1% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 3 | 4.7% | +5.9% | +190.0% |
| Sep 2021 | Oct 2021 | 3 | 2.3% | -3.0% | +182.3% |
| Nov 2021 | Apr 2022 | 22 | 21.5% | +4.5% | +183.0% |
| Apr 2022 | Jun 2022 | 9 | 10.1% | +26.4% | +197.7% |
| Aug 2022 | Oct 2022 | 8 | 5.9% | +38.9% | +188.9% |
| Average | 9 | — | +20.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BWXT below its 200-week moving average?
No. BWX Technologies Inc. (BWXT) is currently 24.4% above its 200-week moving average of $118.59. It would need to fall to $118.59 to cross below the line.
What is BWXT's 200-week moving average price?
BWX Technologies Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $118.59 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BWXT drops below its 200-week moving average?
BWXT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +20.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 9 weeks on average.
Is BWXT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BWXT as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 26 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 1.1%. Return on equity is 28.3%. Price-to-book is 10.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BWXT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 15.2 years, $100 invested in BWXT would have grown to $966, compared to $769 for the S&P 500. That's 16.0% annualized vs 14.3% for the index. BWXT has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BWXT pay a dividend?
Yes. BWX Technologies Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 72.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18