BUSE

First Busey Corporation Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →

NO
27.8% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 15.7% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $21.34
14-Week RSI 84

First Busey Corporation (BUSE) closed at $27.27 as of 2026-02-02, trading 27.8% above its 200-week moving average of $21.34. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 15.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 84, BUSE is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1378 weeks of data, BUSE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -6.1%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $2.4 billion, BUSE is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 7.0%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.

Share count has increased 2.6% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 26.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BUSE would have grown to $147, compared to $856 for the S&P 500. BUSE has returned 1.5% annualized vs 8.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 3.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: BUSE vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After BUSE Crosses Below the Line?

Across 27 historical episodes, buying BUSE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -7.8% after 12 months (median -9.0%), compared to +1.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 44% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +2.2% vs +19.9% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BUSE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

BUSE has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +-6.1% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 1999Sep 199910.1%-6.4%+71.7%
Feb 2000Jan 20014818.0%-4.9%+65.7%
Jan 2001Mar 200176.4%+7.9%+70.2%
Sep 2001Sep 200111.3%+21.1%+69.4%
Oct 2001Oct 200111.5%+21.5%+69.6%
Oct 2001Nov 200110.4%+23.6%+67.7%
Dec 2007Jan 200836.0%+3.4%-2.2%
Feb 2008Mar 200856.1%-58.3%-6.0%
May 2008Sep 20081938.7%-53.0%-7.7%
Sep 2008Feb 201323080.0%-74.0%-7.2%
Apr 2013May 201353.5%+36.7%+234.9%
Dec 2018Dec 201823.4%+20.0%+52.8%
Mar 2019Apr 201955.7%-38.1%+53.2%
May 2019Jun 201922.4%-24.7%+45.5%
Aug 2019Sep 201956.7%-25.6%+39.9%
Sep 2019Oct 201944.0%-35.7%+40.1%
Jan 2020Mar 20215745.9%-14.9%+37.6%
Jul 2021Jul 202113.7%+10.1%+45.2%
Sep 2021Sep 202121.7%+5.2%+43.0%
Apr 2022May 202242.4%-15.7%+42.2%
Jun 2022Jun 202210.8%-1.4%+43.3%
Sep 2022Oct 202210.5%-8.7%+44.0%
Mar 2023Jul 20231820.1%+15.2%+49.8%
Aug 2023Nov 20231310.0%+29.9%+46.5%
Jan 2025Jan 202511.3%+14.8%+31.4%
Mar 2025May 2025612.8%N/A+31.4%
May 2025May 202510.6%N/A+30.2%
Average16+-6.1%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02