BURL
Burlington Stores Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Retail Investor Relations →
Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) closed at $311.63 as of 2026-02-02, trading 45.7% above its 200-week moving average of $213.90. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 38.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 596 weeks of data, BURL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 35 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BURL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.3%.
With a market cap of $19.6 billion, BURL is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 41.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 12.7x book value.
Over the past 11.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BURL would have grown to $786, compared to $426 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 19.6% vs 13.4% for the index — confirming BURL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: BURL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BURL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying BURL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.0% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +11.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +11.5% vs +37.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BURL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BURL has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +8.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2022 | Jan 2023 | 44 | 48.7% | +14.0% | +64.3% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2024 | 53 | 46.3% | -4.8% | +44.1% |
| Apr 2024 | May 2024 | 8 | 16.5% | +15.8% | +55.9% |
| Average | 35 | — | +8.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02