BUD
Anheuser-Busch InBev Consumer Defensive Investor Relations →
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) closed at $81.66 as of 2026-07-24, trading 35.0% above its 200-week moving average of $60.49. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 33.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.15 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 842 weeks of data, BUD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BUD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.5%.
With a market cap of $157.7 billion, BUD is a large-cap stock. The stock trades at 10.9x book value.
Over the past 16.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BUD would have grown to $237, compared to $951 for the S&P 500. BUD has returned 5.5% annualized vs 14.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 11.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BUD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BUD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying BUD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.3% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +17.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.6% vs +36.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BUD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BUD's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BUD has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +5.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 3 | 1.3% | +74.2% | +122.9% |
| Nov 2016 | Feb 2017 | 13 | 3.8% | +16.9% | -3.8% |
| Feb 2018 | Feb 2018 | 3 | 6.1% | -23.4% | -8.2% |
| Mar 2018 | Jul 2019 | 70 | 37.0% | -21.6% | -11.3% |
| Aug 2019 | Mar 2023 | 190 | 57.3% | -43.6% | -8.3% |
| May 2023 | Oct 2023 | 25 | 9.9% | +6.7% | +40.1% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 2 | 0.4% | +8.1% | +45.8% |
| Jun 2024 | Jul 2024 | 1 | 0.7% | +19.8% | +45.0% |
| Nov 2024 | Feb 2025 | 16 | 21.0% | +12.4% | +47.2% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 0.3% | N/A | +45.1% |
| Average | 32 | — | +5.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BUD below its 200-week moving average?
No. Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) is currently 35.0% above its 200-week moving average of $60.49. It would need to fall to $60.49 to cross below the line.
What is BUD's 200-week moving average price?
Anheuser-Busch InBev's 200-week moving average is $60.49 as of 2026-07-24. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BUD drops below its 200-week moving average?
BUD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +5.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 32 weeks on average.
Is BUD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BUD as of 2026-07-24: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 59. Price-to-book is 10.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BUD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 16.2 years, $100 invested in BUD would have grown to $237, compared to $951 for the S&P 500. That's 5.5% annualized vs 14.9% for the index. BUD has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BUD pay a dividend?
Yes. Anheuser-Busch InBev currently pays a dividend yield of 167.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-24