BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation Energy - Thermal Coal Investor Relations →
Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) closed at $37.31 as of 2026-03-20, trading 63.3% above its 200-week moving average of $22.85. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 52.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.3x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 419 weeks of data, BTU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 51 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -37.2%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $4.5 billion, BTU is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.8%. Return on equity stands at -1.2%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 15.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 8.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BTU would have grown to $118, compared to $280 for the S&P 500. BTU has returned 2.0% annualized vs 13.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BTU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BTU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying BTU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -40.0% after 12 months (median -66.0%), compared to +14.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 25% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -92.0% vs +34.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BTU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BTU has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +-37.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | -67.8% | +23.6% |
| Nov 2018 | Jan 2019 | 8 | 12.9% | -66.9% | +36.2% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2022 | 157 | 95.2% | -68.8% | +42.8% |
| Dec 2024 | Sep 2025 | 38 | 49.9% | +54.7% | +90.4% |
| Average | 51 | — | +-37.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BTU below its 200-week moving average?
No. Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) is currently 63.3% above its 200-week moving average of $22.85. It would need to fall to $22.85 to cross below the line.
What is BTU's 200-week moving average price?
Peabody Energy Corporation's 200-week moving average is $22.85 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BTU drops below its 200-week moving average?
BTU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -37.2%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 51 weeks on average.
Is BTU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BTU as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 66. Free cash flow yield is 1.8%. Return on equity is -1.2%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BTU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8.1 years, $100 invested in BTU would have grown to $118, compared to $280 for the S&P 500. That's 2.0% annualized vs 13.6% for the index. BTU has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BTU pay a dividend?
Yes. Peabody Energy Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 80.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20