BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation Energy - Thermal Coal Investor Relations →
Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) closed at $36.92 as of 2026-02-02, trading 63.5% above its 200-week moving average of $22.57. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 56.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 70, BTU is in overbought territory.
Over the past 413 weeks of data, BTU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 51 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -37.2%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $4.5 billion, BTU is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -1.2%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.9% over the past three years.
Over the past 8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BTU would have grown to $116, compared to $297 for the S&P 500. BTU has returned 1.9% annualized vs 14.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -4.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: BTU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BTU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying BTU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -40.0% after 12 months (median -66.0%), compared to +14.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 25% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -92.0% vs +34.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BTU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BTU has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +-37.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | -67.8% | +22.1% |
| Nov 2018 | Jan 2019 | 8 | 12.9% | -66.9% | +34.4% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2022 | 157 | 95.2% | -68.8% | +41.0% |
| Dec 2024 | Sep 2025 | 38 | 49.9% | +54.7% | +88.0% |
| Average | 51 | — | +-37.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02