BTDR
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Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) closed at $12.59 as of 2026-02-02, trading 17.6% above its 200-week moving average of $10.70. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 22.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 188 weeks of data, BTDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 9 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BTDR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +48.0%.
With a market cap of $2.9 billion, BTDR is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -98.1%. The stock trades at 4.6x book value.
Share count has increased 72.8% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 3.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BTDR would have grown to $124, compared to $176 for the S&P 500. BTDR has returned 6.0% annualized vs 16.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: BTDR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BTDR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying BTDR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +28.0% after 12 months (median -20.0%), compared to +24.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 40% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +62.2% vs +46.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BTDR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BTDR has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +48.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2023 | Jun 2023 | 9 | 51.6% | -14.1% | +79.1% |
| Jul 2023 | Aug 2023 | 1 | 7.6% | -19.7% | +37.4% |
| Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | 12 | 67.9% | -12.4% | +30.6% |
| Jan 2024 | Jun 2024 | 23 | 40.7% | +221.8% | +55.2% |
| Jul 2024 | Nov 2024 | 15 | 40.5% | +64.6% | +71.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 4 | 22.4% | N/A | +37.7% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 2 | 2.7% | N/A | +19.7% |
| Average | 9 | — | +48.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02