BTDR
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Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) closed at $8.11 as of 2026-03-20, trading 23.8% below its 200-week moving average of $10.64. This places BTDR in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -29.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.05 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 194 weeks of data, BTDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 9 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BTDR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +48.0%.
With a market cap of $1997 million, BTDR is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 11.5%. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.
Share count has increased 72.8% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 3.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BTDR would have grown to $80, compared to $166 for the S&P 500. BTDR has returned -5.8% annualized vs 14.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BTDR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BTDR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying BTDR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.5% after 12 months (median +1.0%), compared to +23.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +62.2% vs +46.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BTDR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BTDR has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +48.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2023 | Jun 2023 | 9 | 51.6% | -14.1% | +15.4% |
| Jul 2023 | Aug 2023 | 1 | 7.6% | -19.7% | -11.5% |
| Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | 12 | 67.9% | -12.4% | -15.9% |
| Jan 2024 | Jun 2024 | 23 | 40.7% | +221.8% | N/A |
| Jul 2024 | Nov 2024 | 15 | 40.5% | +64.6% | +10.3% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 4 | 22.4% | N/A | -11.3% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 2 | 2.7% | N/A | -22.9% |
| Feb 2026 | Ongoing | 6+ | 31.7% | Ongoing | -19.5% |
| Average | 9 | — | +48.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BTDR below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) is trading 23.8% below its 200-week moving average of $10.64. The current price is $8.11.
What is BTDR's 200-week moving average price?
Bitdeer Technologies Group's 200-week moving average is $10.64 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BTDR drops below its 200-week moving average?
BTDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +48.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 9 weeks on average.
Is BTDR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BTDR as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 42. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 11.5%. Price-to-book is 2.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BTDR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 3.8 years, $100 invested in BTDR would have grown to $80, compared to $166 for the S&P 500. That's -5.8% annualized vs 14.4% for the index. BTDR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20