BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil Financial Services Investor Relations →
Banco Santander Brasil (BSBR) closed at $6.02 as of 2026-09-11, trading 21.5% above its 200-week moving average of $4.95. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 20.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, BSBR is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.09 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 835 weeks of data, BSBR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 37 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -4.8%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $45.1 billion, BSBR is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 11.2%. The stock trades at 0.5x book value.
Over the past 16.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BSBR would have grown to $115, compared to $885 for the S&P 500. BSBR has returned 0.9% annualized vs 14.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $1,489,458.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BSBR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BSBR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying BSBR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.2% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +14.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 38% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +17.9% vs +31.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BSBR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BSBR would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BSBR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $3.96 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $4.41 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $4.99 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $5.74 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $6.75 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | $0.20 | $0.16 | -19.5% |
| 2026-04-29 | $0.20 | $0.20 | +0.3% |
| 2026-02-04 | $0.20 | $0.21 | +5.4% |
| 2025-07-30 | $0.17 | $0.17 | +0.2% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BSBR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BSBR has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +-4.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2011 | Jun 2014 | 176 | 38.0% | -12.7% | +36.8% |
| Jun 2014 | Aug 2014 | 9 | 2.9% | -18.2% | +77.7% |
| Sep 2014 | Apr 2016 | 82 | 44.0% | -45.9% | +90.2% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 1.8% | +66.2% | +127.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Dec 2020 | 40 | 54.0% | -6.0% | +16.4% |
| Jan 2021 | May 2021 | 20 | 20.0% | -20.7% | +8.1% |
| Jun 2021 | Mar 2022 | 38 | 27.8% | -23.4% | +6.4% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2023 | 54 | 28.4% | -9.8% | +19.5% |
| Jul 2023 | Oct 2023 | 13 | 8.4% | -8.7% | +23.8% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 3 | 3.9% | -9.0% | +28.9% |
| May 2024 | Aug 2024 | 11 | 9.3% | +3.9% | +27.5% |
| Sep 2024 | Apr 2025 | 32 | 27.4% | +9.6% | +24.5% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 3 | 4.0% | +12.2% | +31.6% |
| Average | 37 | — | +-4.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BSBR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Banco Santander Brasil (BSBR) is currently 21.5% above its 200-week moving average of $4.95. It would need to fall to $4.95 to cross below the line.
What is BSBR's 200-week moving average price?
Banco Santander Brasil's 200-week moving average is $4.95 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BSBR drops below its 200-week moving average?
BSBR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -4.8%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 37 weeks on average.
Is BSBR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BSBR as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 75 (overbought). Return on equity is 11.2%. Price-to-book is 0.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BSBR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 16.1 years, $100 invested in BSBR would have grown to $115, compared to $885 for the S&P 500. That's 0.9% annualized vs 14.5% for the index. BSBR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BSBR pay a dividend?
Yes. Banco Santander Brasil currently pays a dividend yield of 588.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11