BRY

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YES
40.8% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -40.9% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $5.50
14-Week RSI 32

Berry Corporation (BRY) closed at $3.26 as of 2025-12-22, trading 40.8% below its 200-week moving average of $5.50. This places BRY in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -40.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 391 weeks of data, BRY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -20.2%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $253 million, BRY is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 50.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -13.3%. The stock trades at 0.4x book value.

Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 3.8% reduction over three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 7.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BRY would have grown to $41, compared to $272 for the S&P 500. BRY has returned -11.2% annualized vs 14.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: BRY vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After BRY Crosses Below the Line?

Across 6 historical episodes, buying BRY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -24.7% after 12 months (median -27.0%), compared to +17.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -22.5% vs +49.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BRY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

BRY has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +-20.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Dec 2018Jan 2019315.1%+17.3%-34.7%
Jul 2019Nov 20191422.3%-44.3%-41.1%
Nov 2019Oct 20219875.4%-49.0%-25.3%
Jul 2022Jul 202210.5%+25.0%-35.2%
Jul 2024Aug 202422.1%-50.1%-42.0%
Sep 2024Ongoing69+62.2%Ongoing-35.6%
Average31+-20.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2025-12-22