BRX
Brixmor Property Group Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Retail Investor Relations →
Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) closed at $31.51 as of 2026-07-31, trading 36.7% above its 200-week moving average of $23.05. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 41.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.96 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 617 weeks of data, BRX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 40 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BRX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.9%.
With a market cap of $9.7 billion, BRX is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 14.4%. The stock trades at 3.2x book value.
Share count has increased 2.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 11.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BRX would have grown to $227, compared to $451 for the S&P 500. BRX has returned 7.2% annualized vs 13.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 4.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BRX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BRX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying BRX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +35.5% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +24.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +66.0% vs +46.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BRX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BRX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BRX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $28.16 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $29.59 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $31.18 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $32.94 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $34.92 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BRX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BRX has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +7.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 1 | 1.2% | +34.2% | +142.1% |
| Feb 2017 | Jul 2019 | 122 | 32.9% | -25.0% | +129.3% |
| Jul 2019 | Jul 2019 | 1 | 1.6% | -28.6% | +144.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 36 | 53.0% | +51.0% | +190.3% |
| Average | 40 | — | +7.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRX below its 200-week moving average?
No. Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) is currently 36.7% above its 200-week moving average of $23.05. It would need to fall to $23.05 to cross below the line.
What is BRX's 200-week moving average price?
Brixmor Property Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $23.05 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BRX drops below its 200-week moving average?
BRX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 40 weeks on average.
Is BRX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BRX as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow yield is 6.2%. Return on equity is 14.4%. Price-to-book is 3.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BRX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11.8 years, $100 invested in BRX would have grown to $227, compared to $451 for the S&P 500. That's 7.2% annualized vs 13.6% for the index. BRX has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BRX pay a dividend?
Yes. Brixmor Property Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 390.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31