BRSP
BrightSpire Capital, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Mortgage Investor Relations →
BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) closed at $5.90 as of 2026-02-02, trading 16.7% above its 200-week moving average of $5.06. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 18.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 78, BRSP is in overbought territory.
Over the past 370 weeks of data, BRSP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 38 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BRSP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.7%.
With a market cap of $767 million, BRSP is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 46.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -4.3%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 7.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BRSP would have grown to $68, compared to $284 for the S&P 500. BRSP has returned -5.2% annualized vs 15.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: BRSP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BRSP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying BRSP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -1.6% after 12 months (median -2.0%), compared to +18.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 40% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -20.0% vs +44.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BRSP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BRSP has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +0.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2019 | Jul 2023 | 235 | 81.0% | -10.8% | -31.9% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 13 | 16.4% | +0.5% | +24.1% |
| Apr 2024 | Jul 2024 | 10 | 9.3% | -2.0% | +20.7% |
| Jul 2024 | Nov 2024 | 14 | 14.7% | +5.0% | +27.1% |
| Dec 2024 | Feb 2025 | 8 | 5.8% | +10.9% | +14.3% |
| Mar 2025 | Aug 2025 | 20 | 24.3% | N/A | +16.8% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 2.9% | N/A | +19.7% |
| Oct 2025 | Nov 2025 | 1 | 1.0% | N/A | +17.6% |
| Average | 38 | — | +0.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02